Tag Archives: hillary

Trump Gets a Sizeable Convention Bounce in the Polls

Mother Jones

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We now have four polls out that were taken after the Republican convention: CNN, CBS, Morning Consult, and Gravis Marketing. They show an average post-convention bounce for Trump of 6.3 points. That’s higher than the normal GOP bounce of about 4 points. They also show Trump leading Clinton by an average of 2.5 points.

This is not, by itself, anything for Democrats to be worried about. They’ll get their own bounce this week, and it won’t be until mid-August that everything settles down and we have a good idea of where everything really stands. But we can say two things. First, Donald Trump is suddenly going to start talking about polls again. Second, although liberals might have thought the Republican convention was a dumpster fire, it’s obvious that Trump’s message—even delivered in angry, apocalyptic tones—resonates with a lot of people. Democrats better hope that Team Hillary has an effective answer to that.

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Trump Gets a Sizeable Convention Bounce in the Polls

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Clinton Campaign Isn’t Worried About Trump’s Poll Numbers—Yet

Mother Jones

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Donald Trump has taken a lead in several national polls following the Republican convention, but Hillary Clinton campaign manager Robby Mook isn’t sweating it yet—at least not publicly.

Polls from the Los Angeles Times, CNN, and CBS News all have Trump slightly ahead nationally following the RNC. But at a press briefing on the opening morning of the Democratic National Convention, Mook dismissed concerns that his candidate was lagging, pointing out that conventions have always boosted a candidate’s polling numbers in the past. “There’s a clear trend historically in polling that after your convention, you always get a bump,” Mook said. “I would kind of suspend any kind of polling analysis until after our convention.”

Polling guru Nate Silver weighed in over the weekend and said that while Trump’s poll numbers certainly have improved post-convention, “the initial data suggests that a small-to-medium bounce is more likely than a large one.” He added on Twitter that Trump got a typical bounce of 4 percent. Still, Silver’s model on FiveThirtyEight now predicts that Trump would stand a 57.5 percent chance of winning if the election were held today. But like Mook, he notes that Trump’s lead is due to a standard convention bounce, and his more advanced model has the same message for Clinton supporters: Don’t panic just yet.

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Clinton Campaign Isn’t Worried About Trump’s Poll Numbers—Yet

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Democratic Party Chair Announces Resignation on Eve of the Convention

Mother Jones

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Democratic National Committee chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz announced Sunday afternoon that she would resign her position following the end of the party’s quadrennial convention this week in Philadelphia.

The Florida congresswoman’s decision came just days after WikiLeaks published a trove of internal DNC emails, including one in which a party official discussed pushing stories about Bernie Sanders’ faith to damage the Vermont senator’s chances in southern states.

The Sanders campaign, and many of his supporters, had long held a grudge against Wasserman Schultz, accusing her and the DNC of favoring former secretary of state Hillary Clinton in various ways throughout the primary. But in her five years at the helm, Wasserman Schultz had often clashed with other party leaders. In 2014, Politico reported that her interactions with President Barack Obama were limited to brief exchanges on the rope-line at fundraising events.

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Democratic Party Chair Announces Resignation on Eve of the Convention

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The Effect of Emailgate on the Presidential Race Was…Zero

Mother Jones

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On July 5, FBI Director James Comey held a press conference about Hillary Clinton’s email server. By all accounts, his narrative was devastating. She had been “extremely careless.” She had sent and received documents now considered classified. She had used her private server while traveling in unfriendly countries. There was a strong possibility that her server had been hacked.

As it happens, Comey overstated a lot of this stuff. But he did say it. And the reaction of the press was nearly unanimous: Comey had validated many of the worst charges against Clinton. There would be no indictment, but it was certain to hurt Clinton badly. And yet, look what happened according to the Pollster aggregates:

In the week following Comey’s press conference, nothing happened. Clinton’s poll numbers were basically flat, and then bumped up a couple of points. As near as I can tell, Comey’s lengthy rebuke had no effect at all.

This is genuinely puzzling. Sure, the email affair had been going on for a long time and people were pretty tired of it, but Comey made genuine news—all of it bad for Clinton. At the very least, you’d expect a dip in the polls of two or three points for a few weeks.

Why didn’t anyone care? Is this a sign that everyone’s minds are made up, and there’s basically nothing that can change the race at this point? Or does it mean that emailgate was a much smaller deal than we political junkies thought it was?

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The Effect of Emailgate on the Presidential Race Was…Zero

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The 5 Best Moments of the Republican Convention: Tuesday Edition

Mother Jones

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Today was just plain boring compared with yesterday. Still, I guess I can dig up five favorite moments:

Trump campaign defends Melania Trump’s plagiarism by saying, “This concept that Michelle Obama invented the English language is absurd.”
The official theme of the evening, “Make America Work Again,” is completely missing in action. Does that count as a moment? A non-moment? Whatever it is, it makes the list.
In its place, “Lock her up” turns into the official slogan of the evening.
Donald Trump Jr., the son of a famously flamboyant billionaire, rails against the “self-satisfied people at the top, our new aristocrats.”
Ben Carson tells us that Saul Alinsky dedicated his book to Lucifer; Hillary Clinton wrote a college thesis about Alinsky; therefore Clinton is…a Satan worshipper?

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The 5 Best Moments of the Republican Convention: Tuesday Edition

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The Five Best Moments of the Republican Convention: Monday Edition

Mother Jones

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Well, these were my favorite parts of today’s festivities, anyway:

  1. Rep. Steve King on CNN talking about the greatness of white people: “Where did any other sub-group of people contribute to civilization?”
  2. Soap opera star Antonio Sabato Jr. on Twitter after his speech: Obama is “absolutely” a Muslim.
  3. A chant on the convention floor after Gen. Michael Flynn attacks Hillary Clinton: “Lock her up, lock her up….”
  4. Rudy Giuliani on how Trump will make America great again: “He will lead by leading.”
  5. Former Happy Days star Scott Baio defending a crudely offensive tweet about Hillary Clinton after his speech: “You make of it what you want.”

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The Five Best Moments of the Republican Convention: Monday Edition

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Melania Trump Helps Us Forget Rudy Giuliani Was a Speaker Tonight

Mother Jones

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Melania Trump just gave her speech, but I’m not sure I heard it all. My ears were still ringing from Rudy Giuliani’s 15-minute shriek about how we were all going to die if Hillary Clinton gets elected president. Damn. Was he afraid the microphones weren’t working, or what?

Trump was smart to have Rudy go on just before Melania. She might have been a little nervous, but anyone would have seemed like a cool, refreshing breeze after Rudy’s yawp (my favorite part: “Donald Trump will lead by leading”). Needless to say, Melania didn’t say much except that Donald was a great guy, but I guess that’s OK. It would have been nice to hear a few personal anecdotes explaining why she actually likes him, but maybe those are hard to come by.

On the downside, I lost my bet with myself. I figured Donald would use his introduction to talk about himself as usual, but he didn’t. He actually restrained himself and just introduced his wife and then left the stage. Maybe he really is pivoting for the general election.

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Melania Trump Helps Us Forget Rudy Giuliani Was a Speaker Tonight

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Sanders endorses Clinton to lead the fight against climate change

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Sanders endorses Clinton to lead the fight against climate change

By on Jul 12, 2016Share

Bernie Sanders officially threw in the towel on Tuesday in New Hampshire by endorsing Hillary Clinton for president. Hitting on the themes his campaign has stressed throughout the primaries, Sanders laid out what this election is really about. One of his themes has been climate change, which featured heavily in his speech:

This election is about climate change, the greatest environmental crisis facing our planet, and the need to leave this world in a way that is healthy and habitable for our kids and future generations.

Hillary Clinton is listening to the scientists who tell us that if we do not act boldly in the very near future there will be more drought, more floods, more acidification of the oceans, more rising sea levels. She understands that we must work with countries around the world in transforming our energy system away from fossil fuels and into energy efficiency and sustainable energy — and that when we do that we can create a whole lot of good paying jobs.

Donald Trump: Well, like most Republicans, he chooses to reject science — something no presidential candidate should do. He believes that climate change is a hoax. In fact, he wants to expand the use of fossil fuel. That would be a disaster for our country and our planet.

The endorsement rally was kicked off by climate activist (and Grist board member) Bill McKibben. “Secretary Clinton, we wish you Godspeed in the fight that now looms,” McKibben said.

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Sanders endorses Clinton to lead the fight against climate change

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Donald Trump’s Son-In-Law Gets Blasted in Open Letter

Mother Jones

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The latest controversy to envelop Donald Trump has spurred furious critics to accuse the presidential candidate of anti-Semitism and to blast Trump’s son-in-law, who is Jewish, for refusing to condemn him.

Trump sparked outrage over the weekend when he tweeted—and later deleted—an image of Hillary Clinton that many have called anti-Semitic: a photo of Clinton against a background of cash, with the words “Most Corrupt Candidate Ever” emblazoned on a six-pointed star. Critics said the tweet drew on stereotypes of Jews and the star resembled the Star of David. Mic reported that the meme had originally been created on an internet forum for neo-Nazis, anti-Semites, and white supremacists.

Trump deleted the tweet and replaced it with a new image, using a circle instead of a star.

In response to the tweet and the Trump campaign’s response, a New York Observer reporter, Dana Schwartz, penned an open letter to Jared Kushner, Trump’s son-in-law and an owner of the Observer. A New York Times profile of Kushner on Monday described him as Trump’s “de facto campaign manager,” “involved in virtually every facet of the Trump presidential operation.”

Schwartz laid out the problems with Trump’s tweet and called out Kushner for not doing anything in response to Trump’s anti-Semitism:

You went to Harvard, and hold two graduate degrees. Please do not condescend to me and pretend you don’t understand the imagery of a six-sided star when juxtaposed with money and accusations of financial dishonesty. I’m asking you, not as a “gotcha” journalist or as a liberal but as a human being: how do you allow this? Because, Mr. Kushner, you are allowing this. Your father-in-law’s repeated accidental winks to the white supremacist community is perhaps a savvy political strategy if the neo-Nazis are considered a sizable voting block—I confess, I haven’t done my research on that front. But when you stand silent and smiling in the background, his Jewish son-in-law, you’re giving his most hateful supporters tacit approval.

Schwartz also pointed out that Trump failed to apologize for the tweet, instead blaming “dishonest media” for trying to depict the star as the star of David, rather than a sheriff’s star, or, in his words, a “plain star.”

And now, Mr. Kushner, I ask you: What are you going to do about this? Look at those tweets I got again, the ones calling me out for my Jewish last name, insulting my nose, evoking the holocaust, and tell me I’m being too sensitive. Read about the origins of that image and see the type of people it attracted like a flies to human waste and tell me this whole story is just the work of the “dishonest media.” Look at that image and tell me, honestly, that you just saw a “Sheriff’s Star.” I didn’t see a sheriff star, Mr. Kushner, and I’m a smart person. After all, I work for your paper.

The reporter’s open letter is in stark contrast to the Observer‘s editorial board’s stance on the presidential race. In April, the Observer published an editorial endorsing Trump that also acknowledged that Kushner, the paper’s publisher, was Trump’s son-in-law. The publication’s ties to the GOP presidential candidate played a role in at least two reporters’ resignations from the paper, according to Politico.

The Observer‘s editor-in-chief, Ken Kurson, told Politico that he supported publishing the letter but personally disagreed with Schwartz’s criticism of Kushner.

“All presidential candidates attract people whose support makes them uncomfortable,” said Kurson, who said that his mother had fled the Holocaust. “I think the effort to paint Donald Trump as an anti-Semite because some of his supporters are is like saying that Bernie Sanders hates the US because some of his supporters spit on American flags at his rallies.

He added, “In my opinion, Donald Trump is not a Jew hater.”

Read Schwartz’s full letter here.

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Donald Trump’s Son-In-Law Gets Blasted in Open Letter

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These Americans Have Never Seen a White President Before

Mother Jones

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In 2009, Barack Obama was sworn into office as the 44th president of the United States, the first black man to run the White House. While the upcoming presidential election could be the first time the US sees a woman in that job, that wouldn’t be the only historic aspect of a Hillary Clinton victory for a certain swath of Americans. The above video, produced by BET, surveys some special young citizens about their opinions on the Obamas, Donald Trump, and their prospects for witnessing the “first white president.” Enjoy.

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These Americans Have Never Seen a White President Before

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