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Coming soon to a horror movie near you: Antarctica is being invaded by king crabs

Coming soon to a horror movie near you: Antarctica is being invaded by king crabs

p200eric

The Antarctic is being invaded by king crabs — and, somewhat ironically, it’s because they survive better in warmer water.

From Nature:

Cold temperatures have kept crabs out of Antarctic seas for 30 million years. But warm water from the ocean depths is now intruding onto the continental shelf, and seems to be changing the delicate ecological balance. An analysis by [marine ecologist Craig] Smith and his colleagues suggests that 1.5 million crabs already inhabit Palmer Deep, [a] sea-floor valley … And native organisms have few ways of defending themselves. “There are no hard-shell-crushing predators in Antarctica,” says Smith. “When these come in they’re going to wipe out a whole bunch of endemic species.”

Scientists are asking for volunteers to help stem the invasion; the research team will provide melted butter and nutcrackers.

Crustaceans like crabs and lobsters have a strange reaction to particularly cold water.

At temperatures below about 1 °C, they become unable to regulate magnesium in body fluids, leading to narcosis, clumsiness and paralysis of breathing. Most of the 100 or so fish species currently found on the Antarctic shelf belong to a single sub-order, whose members evolved antifreeze proteins to keep their blood flowing at subzero temperatures and then diversified to fill most niches in the frigid seas. They lack powerful jaws.

Nature

Click to embiggen.

As ocean temperatures have risen, so have temperatures in the Palmer Deep.

Westerly winds are strengthening and the circumpolar current is intensifying, driven by atmospheric warming and a hole in the ozone layer over Antarctica. These changes are lifting warm, dense, salty water from 4,000 metres down in the Southern Ocean up over the lip of the continental shelf.

[A]s the circumpolar current skirts Antarctica’s continental shelf, it runs head-on into the steep wall of the trough. About once a week, a swirling eddy containing 100 cubic kilometres of warm water wafts up from that collision, spilling onto the continental shelf. The same thing happens elsewhere, says [oceanographer Douglas] Martinson: “It looks like this is what happens at all of the canyons that cut across the shelf.”

The temperature of this intruding water is only about 1.8 °C — but for an ocean region generally between 1 and −2 °C, the impact is substantial. And the incursion seems to have begun only recently, says Eugene Domack, a marine geologist at Hamilton College in Clinton, New York, who led the 2010 cruise to Palmer Deep. … Average water temperatures west of the Antarctic Peninsula have risen by 1 °C in the past 50 years, and continue to rise by 0.01–0.02 °C per year.

And that warmer water means crabs can now better survive, stepping into an ecosystem unable to protect itself against the invasion.

The grimmest part of the story, though, may be this quote from Florida Institute of Technology marine biologist Richard Aronson.

“Every time we make a prediction of what we think will happen in the next 50 years, then poof, 10 years later, there it is,” he says. “So I think this is going to be happening more rapidly than, as conservative scientists, we’re used to predicting.”

Source

Polar research: Trouble bares its claws, Nature

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Coming soon to a horror movie near you: Antarctica is being invaded by king crabs

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Interior: We’ll maybe finalize those fracking rules next year

Interior: We’ll maybe finalize those fracking rules next year

Bad news, water lovers: You’re going to need to wait until at least 2013 before you know if you’re drinking fracking fluid.

Last May, the Department of the Interior, America’s most introspective governmental bureau, announced proposed regulations for the fracking process. The proposal was … not very strong. Companies would have to provide information on chemicals used in the process, but only after the fact.

ncindc

The fast-acting Department of the Interior.

Nonetheless, the fracking industry was hella mad, because if you government pencil-necks say companies have to worry about where chemicals end up or, worse, have to tell everyone what chemicals they use, those companies will have to fire everyone and probably resort to a life of crime. And besides, they noted, the existing rules states have are already so oppressive.

But Interior was all, too bad, guys. We’re going to crack down! By the end of the year, you watch, we’ll have final rules.

And, lo, The Hill reports:

The Interior Department no longer plans to finalize rules this year that will impose new controls on the controversial oil-and-gas development method called hydraulic fracturing, a spokesman said.

“In order to ensure that the 170,000 comments received are properly analyzed, the Bureau of Land Management expects action on the [hydraulic fracturing] proposal in the new year,” Interior spokesman Blake Androff said.

So that’s that.

Incidentally, I am not clear why it will take so long to go through those 170,000 comments. The breakdown is almost certainly as follows.

152,000 comments are in support of fracking regulations, but call for them to be tighter than proposed. All 152,000 share 82 percent of the same language; 76,000 include the words “Sierra Club” and 76,000 include the abbreviation “NRDC.” 98.6 percent of them originated from the states of California or New York.
18,000 comments oppose any regulation and are from “regular Joes,” including people named Tex Rillerson, Won Jotson, and, for some reason, Bon Jaynor. In those 18,000 comments, the word “jobs” appears 269,000 times.

So once they’ve sorted those comments out into two piles, measured the height of each, and applied some magic calculus to the result, Interior will announce final rules. Sometime. Maybe 2013. We’ll see.

In the meantime, drink up.

Source

Interior delays ‘fracking’ rules, The Hill

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Fossil-fuel extraction on public land yields massive economic boom, kind of

Fossil-fuel extraction on public land yields massive economic boom, kind of

roger4336

This is what a government windfall looks like (in Bizarro America).

Good news from the L.A. Times:

Energy development on public lands and waters pumped more than $12 billion into federal coffers in 2012, $1 billion more than the previous year, according to the U.S. Department of the Interior.

“These revenues reflect significant domestic energy production under President Obama’s all-of-the-above energy strategy and provide a vital revenue stream for federal and state governments and American Indian communities,” Interior Secretary Ken Salazar said in a statement.

Yes! Win win win win win. Winners all around. Lots of cash money/moolah just pouring out of the ground like so much crude oil, thanks to the president’s staunch commitment to fossil fuels. Everyone line up for your cut! [PDF]

Just such good news. But we need to do a smidgen of accounting work here.

So: $12 billion in profits from fossil-fuel extraction, great. Of course, $4 billion of that goes back to oil companies in subsidies, so it’s really more like $8 billion. Oh, plus another billion or so to the coal industry. So $7 billion. Still good!

We should also probably consider that the use of those fossil fuels results in $120 billion in healthcare costs each year. In 2009, 35 percent of U.S. healthcare spending was from Medicare and Medicaid [PDF]. Thirty-five percent of $120 billion is $42 billion. Hm.

And then there’s that $50 billion that Obama is seeking to repair damage from Hurricane Sandy. But let’s take only the $5 billion the New York area Metropolitan Transportation Authority needs due to the flooding that was certainly made worse by climate change. Don’t want to be unrealistic, after all!

So, let me get out the adding machine here … Boom. Done. That brilliant all-of-the-above energy approach has indirectly resulted in a rock-solid economic benefit of negative $40 billion to the U.S. economy.

As Assistant Secretary Rhea Suh said in the Interior Department’s press release, “The reforms we have undertaken over the last two years are paying off — quite literally — and I could not be more proud of the work that these public servants perform day in and day out on behalf of the American taxpayer.”

Indeed.

Source

Energy development on public lands generated $12 billion in 2012, Los Angeles Times

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How New York’s poor ended up along its vulnerable coast

How New York’s poor ended up along its vulnerable coast

Reuters / Keith BedfordDamage in the Rockaways.

Earlier this week, The New York Times examined how some of New York City’s poorest residents ended up in what under different circumstances might be highly sought-after real estate: land right by the shore.

New York started building housing projects on the waterfront because that’s where its poorest citizens happened to live. It continued because that’s where space was most readily available. Finally, it built them there because that’s where its projects already were.

The case of the Rockaways, the spit of land on the southeastern edge of the city, is slightly different. The Rockaways are home to a disproportionately high number of poor people because of Robert Moses, the despotic city planner whose mid-century efforts to reshape New York City were largely successful.

Never one for nostalgia, Moses saw the Rockaways as both a symbol of the past and a justification for his own aggressive approach to urban renewal, to building what he envisioned as the city of the future. “Such beaches as the Rockaways and those on Long Island and Coney Island lend themselves to summer exploitation, to honky-tonk catchpenny amusement resorts, shacks built without reference to health, sanitation, safety and decent living,” he said, making his case for refashioning the old summer resorts into year-round residential communities.

What is more, the Rockaways had plenty of land that the city could buy cheaply, or simply seize under its newly increased powers of eminent domain, swaths big enough to accommodate the enormous public-housing towers Moses intended to build as part of his “Rockaway Improvement Plan.” Though only a tiny fraction of the population of Queens lived in the Rockaways, it would soon contain more than half of its public housing.

The old summer bungalows that weren’t bulldozed in the process were repurposed as year-round housing for those uprooted by Moses’ urban renewal — derided as “negro removal,” by the writer James Baldwin — across the city.

There’s some irony in this: Many Sandy-related deaths occurred in small, low-lying structures, while Moses’ much-derided highrises turned out to be safer places to ride out the storm.

Moses took the same tack throughout the city, congregating low-income residents far from population centers. Later efforts to reverse the strategy often met with public opposition, and so there still remains a heavy density of low-income housing in areas particularly vulnerable to the ocean, including at the lower end of Manhattan.

Shortly after Sandy hit, we noted how it apparently put low-income residents at higher risk. Now, thanks to this set of maps from WNYC, we can see how Sandy’s flooded areas compare to variations in New York City incomes. (Flooding wasn’t the only damage, of course — power outages and water restrictions often had a longer, deeper effect.)

Note the Rockaways, along the ocean in the southeastern part of the city. In the income map, there’s a splash of light red. In the flooding map, it, like so much else, is solidly blue.

Source

How the Coastline Became a Place to Put the Poor, New York Times

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So much for the Grinch: Exxon CEO gets much-deserved raise

So much for the Grinch: Exxon CEO gets much-deserved raise

Tillerson demonstrates the size of the gold nugget he plans to buy.

Rex Tillerson, the CEO of ExxonMobil, got a raise. On Jan. 1, 2013, Tillerson will earn a base salary of $2.71 million, according to Reuters — a 5 percent raise. He will also get a bonus this year of $4.59 million. He also got 225,000 shares of stock, worth, as of writing, about $19.7 million (though there are restrictions on how he can sell it). Exxon’s stock is up 3.26 percent so far this year.

Some other interesting facts and figures!

The average wage for an American in 2011 was about $43,000 — meaning it takes 168 people to equal Tillerson’s compensation package. Excluding the stock.
ExxonMobil earned $9.57 billion in profits in the third quarter of 2012.
Corporate profits hit an all-time high in the third quarter of $1.75 trillion. Wages as a percent of GDP hit an all-time low.
Year-to-date temperatures for 2012 in the United States are 3.4 degrees F higher than the 20th century average — 6 percent higher.
Sea levels are rising 60 percent faster than we expected.
The company gave $1 million to Sandy relief. Rex Tillerson earned that in bonus by March 18.

Source

Exxon CEO Tillerson to see bonus, salary go higher, Reuters

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Ghana will soon be home to the largest solar farm in Africa

Ghana will soon be home to the largest solar farm in Africa

The marker on this map shows the location of Aiwiaso, Ghana, a town small enough that one could count the number of buildings within it in short order. And, if all goes according to plan, it will in 2015 be the location of the fourth-largest solar photovoltaic plant in the world and the largest in Africa.

From The Guardian:

Blue Energy, the renewable energy developer behind the $400m project, which has built a solar farm 31 times smaller outside Swindon, [England,] said the 155MW solar photovoltaic (PV) plant will be fully operational by October 2015. Construction on the Nzema project is due to begin near the village of Aiwiaso in western Ghana by the end of 2013, with the installation of some 630,000 PV modules. …

The company said it expects to create 200 permanent jobs and 500 during the construction phase, which already has the go-ahead from planning authorities.

Why the investment? Because Ghana, unlike some countries, set a national renewable energy target last year, including a feed-in tariff. Ghana aims to get 10 percent of its electricity from renewable sources by 2020.

stignygaard

This house in western Ghana has a small solar panel on its roof (held up by the white rectangle).

That’s not the only way in which Ghana is ahead of the curve on energy use.

The average carbon footprint of a Ghanian is 0.4 tonnes of CO2, compared to 8.5 tonnes of CO2 per head in the UK.

… And 17.3 tons in the U.S.

If you’re curious, the largest PV installation in the world is Agua Caliente, in the southwestern corner of Arizona. USA No. 1, etc.

Source

Africa’s largest solar power plant to be built in Ghana, The Guardian

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The next big U.N. climate report will not include the massive effects of permafrost melt

The next big U.N. climate report will not include the massive effects of permafrost melt

Climate Progress blogger Joe Romm is one of the best there is at breaking down climate science, which is to say that he is one of the best there is at dropping reams of data in your lap that he can demonstrate add up to the apocalypse. Yesterday, when you weren’t looking, he dropped a ton of data in your lap in a post whose title ends in an exclamation point. So, you know. It’s serious.

For a long time, climate scientists have been concerned about the effects of melting permafrost. By way of quick refresher, permafrost is the layer of frozen ground that is a hallmark of the Arctic. Since the region is usually below freezing, the soil stays frozen to varying depth, which has been a boon for development. Rock-solid soil makes it simple to build towns and roads. Until the permafrost starts to melt — which it is — causing some serious problems for those towns and roads.

U.N./Christopher Arp

Near Alaska, a chunk of permafrost broke off into the Arctic Ocean.

That’s actually the least troubling problem. Of far more concern is methane release. As layers of soil and vegetation that have been frozen solid for centuries thaw, they start to release methane that’s been trapped. And, worse, that vegetation starts to decompose, releasing newly created methane. Methane, as we’ve noted, is far more effective at trapping heat in the atmosphere than carbon dioxide, creating a massive negative loop of warming and permafrost thaw and more warming and so on.

What’s the U.N. going to do about the problem? Nothing. As Romm notes, a key U.N. report won’t even acknowledge it exists.

The U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is due to release its “Fifth Assessment Report” in stages beginning next fall. It’s meant to be an overview of the science on climate change to guide the global body. But it “will not include the potential effects of the permafrost carbon feedback on global climate,” per a new report that details the permafrost problem. Therefore: Romm went ballistic. With graphs and reports, as is his fashion.

Back in 2005, before the IPCC’s Fourth Assessment, a major study (subs. req’d) led by NCAR climate researcher David Lawrence, found that virtually the entire top 11 feet of permafrost around the globe could disappear by the end of this century. Using the first “fully interactive climate system model” applied to study permafrost, the researchers found that if we tried to stabilize CO2 concentrations in the air at 550 ppm, permafrost would plummet from over 4 million square miles today to 1.5 million.

That matters because the … permamelt contains a staggering 1.5 trillion tons of frozen carbon, about twice as much carbon as contained in the atmosphere, much of which would be released as methane. Methane is 25 times as potent a heat-trapping gas as CO2 over a 100 year time horizon, but 72 to 100 times as potent over 20 years!

ThinkProgress/Schaefer et al

Carbon expected to be released into the atmosphere from thawing permafrost.

Translation: The U.N. IPCC’s report won’t take into consideration perhaps the single most important contributor to warming besides consumption of fossil fuels. Meaning that its models over the course of decades and centuries will be wrong. And meaning, therefore, that the undoubtedly grim predictions it outlines will actually be hopelessly optimistic.

Which is worth a few exclamation points.

Source

IPCC’s Planned Obsolescence: Fifth Assessment Report Will Ignore Crucial Permafrost Carbon Feedback!, ThinkProgress

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Mexican environmentalist murdered by drug gangs

Mexican environmentalist murdered by drug gangs

For years, Juventina Villa Mojica worked to preserve the virgin forest surrounding her small Mexican town. Drug traffickers wanted to strip the forest to expand the area in which they could grow poppies and marijuana, but Villa Mojica and her husband led an effort to organize farmers in opposition to the gangs. Last year, her husband and two of her children were murdered. On Wednesday, she and her 10-year-old son met the same fate.

From the Washington Post:

A band of gunmen killed an environmental activist who had received death threats for standing up to drug gangs and had a police guard when she was ambushed in southern Mexico, authorities said Thursday. …

Villa and her children had ridden in an all-terrain vehicle near the top of a mountain where she could get a cellphone signal since there are no telephones in the village. They were ambushed despite the presence of 10 state police officers who were protecting them, state prosecutors said in a statement.

Five of the officers were in a patrol car ahead of Villa and her children and the other five where on foot behind them, the statement said. Villa got ahead of the officers on foot and that’s when the assailants fired their weapons, it said.

catr

Mexican authorities prepare to destroy seized drugs.

The Post notes that Villa Mojica had been uncommonly lucky; more than 20 members of her and her husband’s families had been killed by drug gangs in the past year.

In October, the New Scientist reported that up to 90 percent of tropical deforestation was the result of organized crime, though generally the goal was resale of rare wood. The situation in Mexico presents the rawest form of the conflict between economics and sustainability; the amount of money to be gained by selling illegal drugs is a powerful force compared to efforts to preserve an ecosystem.

Source

Gunmen kill Mexican environmental activist being guarded by police team, prosecutors say, Washington Post

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Americans on pace to spend a record amount of money on gas this year

Americans on pace to spend a record amount of money on gas this year

Americans weren’t paying more for gasoline this year, but we were buying a lot more of it. So the odds are good that 2012 will set a record for the amount of money spent on fuel.

Keep it flowing, America!

From the Los Angeles Times:

The average price of a gallon of regular gasoline in the U.S. this year never reached the highs seen in 2008, when the all-time record of $4.114 was reached. The 2012 average never even climbed as high as it was last year, when it hit $3.965, according to the Energy Department.

But fuel prices have been so consistently high in 2012 that American motorists are on pace to spend more on gasoline this year — $483 billion, or $1.32 billion a day — than they ever have before, according to the Oil Price Information Service in New Jersey.

That would break the old record for the amount of money spent by Americans on gasoline, set last year, by about $12 billion. That’s in spite of the fact that the U.S. average topped out this year at $3.941 a gallon back in April.

Money well spent, to be sure.

Over the past five years, here’s how the average price of a gallon of gas has fluctuated:

GasBuddy.com

Since the end of 2010, that price has stabilized, hovering between about $3.25 and $3.90.

But the really fun part comes when you do a little back-of-the-envelope math. The Times indicates that the Department of Energy pegged the 2012 average price at $3.64 a gallon. If we’ve spent $483 billion on gas, that comes out to about 133 billion gallons of gasoline. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, burning one gallon of gasoline (mixed with ethanol) yields 17.68 pounds of carbon dioxide. So that would be …

2.35 trillion pounds of carbon dioxide.

Not all of that gasoline may have been burnt, and this calculus is very rough. However, that’s a staggering figure — a bit less than half our total CO2 emissions in 2008. For which we shelled out half a trillion dollars.

As I said earlier: Money. Well. Spent.

Source

U.S. motorists on pace to spend a record sum on gasoline in 2012, Los Angeles Times

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Senate works to bring dead polar bears into the U.S.

Senate works to bring dead polar bears into the U.S.

Martin Lopatka

This is what a polar bear looks like, in case you don’t own a dead one.

Here is what the Senate is debating today. From NBC News:

Sportsmen might soon have more access to federal lands and be able to bring home as trophies 41 polar bears killed in Canada before the government started protecting the animals as a threatened species. …

The polar bear provision would allow the 41 hunters — two from the home state of Montana Sen. Jon Tester, the Democratic sponsor of the bill — who killed polar bears in Canada just before a 2008 ban on polar bear trophy imports took effect to bring the bears’ bodies across the border. The hunters involved were not able to bring the trophies home before the Fish and Wildlife Services listed them as a threatened species. …

Tester said it would just allow a few people who have polar bear trophies stored in Canada to finally bring them home. “These polar bears are dead, they are in cold storage and we know exactly who they are,” he said when the bill first came to the floor in September.

It is expected that Sen. James Inhofe (R-Okla.) will vote for the bill, given his long-standing enthusiasm for killing polar bears.

Source

Bill to give hunters, fishermen more land access, NBC News

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