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New Statistical Analysis Shows RINs Have No Impact on Retail Gas Prices

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New Statistical Analysis Shows RINs Have No Impact on Retail Gas Prices

Posted 7 January 2014 in

National

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New Statistical Analysis Shows RINs Have No Impact on Retail Gas Prices

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Chart of the Day: We Are Deliberately Destroying Our Medical Future

Mother Jones

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Over at Pacific Standard—a pretty good magazine that you should check out—Michael White shows us what’s happened to the National Insitutes of Health ever since 1998, when Congress decided on a bipartisan basis to double its research budget over five years. The budget was indeed doubled, but when the five years was up its funding was immediately put back on its old path. Then, when the recession hit, it was cut even further:

The tighter competition for funding has put the squeeze on younger scientists with fledgling labs; the proportion of young scientists with NIH grants is half of what was in 1998, while the proportion of funded scientists over 65 has doubled. Because scientific training typically takes over 10 years, students who decided to enter graduate school in the boom days of the mid-Aughts are now entering a job market that looks nothing like what they expected.

Keith Humphreys adds more:

On the ground in my daily work in both a university medical school and a public hospital, it’s a rare month that some bright young person doesn’t tell me they are quitting science because it’s too hard to get funded. These are usually not reversible decisions. Even a well-trained young physician who leaves research for 5 years to treat patients full-time is very hard to tempt back into science if the funding picture improves (and is even harder to bring back up to speed on the cutting-edge scientific questions and methods of the day).

….A decade or two from now, when an antibiotic resistant bacteria or new strain of bird flu is ravaging humanity, that generation will no longer be around to lead the scientific charge on humanity’s behalf. That’s why we constantly need a new stream of young people committing to health science careers. That seed corn is currently being consumed at an alarming rate, and if we don’t act immediately to rectify the situation we will suffer for many years to come from the loss of a generation of health researchers.

Because NIH grants typically last a long time—five to ten years or more—budget reductions have an oversized effect on new research proposals. When funding goes down thanks to austerity-obsessed politicians, existing grants have to keep getting funded, which means that virtually no new money opens up for new projects. And this is coming at the same time that the drug pipeline is slowing down, antibiotic-resistant superbugs are surging, and we’re still struggling to figure out how make use of the genomic revolution.

We are insane.

Link:

Chart of the Day: We Are Deliberately Destroying Our Medical Future

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Chicken vs. Turkey, Round 2

Mother Jones

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In the great chicken vs. turkey debate, a friend writes in with further data to support turkey lovers:

Consider how we deal with other fowl.

Duck certainly has a lot more flavor than either chicken or turkey, but it is far less available, more perishable (hence sold frozen) and substantially more expensive (4-8x more expensive than chicken). Similarly, other domesticated or farmed fowl is both more expensive and less available, regardless of taste. An average goose is roughly the size of a medium turkey, but offers less meat and more bone per pound of live weight. But the ultimate determining factor is that it is simply more expensive.

Game birds, such as guinea fowl, partridge, pheasant, quail, squab, cornish hens and a variety of ducks (as opposed to the standard Muscovite) are harder to raise, are inefficient meat sources and are supremely more expensive than both chicken and turkey, which is why we tend to save them for holidays and other special meals, if we eat them at all. No one in his right mind would argue that they are flavorless, and few would worry about their relative taste value compared to chicken, despite frequent personal dislikes of the particular flavors.

In other words, chicken isn’t objectively tastier, it’s just cheaper and easier to farm, in addition to being more convenient for consumers. So ignore the turkey haters and enjoy your leftovers today.

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Chicken vs. Turkey, Round 2

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More corn grown in U.S. this year than ever before. Thanks, biofuels.

More corn grown in U.S. this year than ever before. Thanks, biofuels.

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Cars and cows are slurping up the largest corn crop ever grown in the U.S.

With the fall corn harvest three-quarters done, traders are anticipating a yield of about 14 billion bushels, Bloomberg reports. That exceeds forecasts and is 30 percent greater than last year. Growers are thanking agreeable weather for this year’s early and bountiful harvest, a notable shift after last year’s drought woes.

The amount of land used to cultivate corn has been growing during the past 25 years, displacing grasslands and other crops. Meanwhile, the amount of corn grown per acre has tripled since the 1950s due largely to new varieties and heavy doses of herbicides and fertilizers, which have been polluting waterways and fueling algae blooms.

USDA

But the most dramatic change in recent years has been the skyrocketing demand for corn to brew ethanol. That’s not due to a resurgent national appetite for white lightning moonshine. Rather, it’s due to the EPA’s renewable-fuel mandate, a controversial regulation requiring biofuels be blended into gasoline. The mandate was created under the Energy Policy Act of 2005, substantially expanded in 2010, and it continues to be expanded.

USDA

The spike in demand for corn to fuel vehicles threatens natural areas and human food supplies, leading many environmentalists to oppose the biofuels mandate. From an August post by the Environmental Working Group:

The harm done to consumers and the environment by the federal biofuels mandate is destined to grow worse as a result of the recent decision to once again increase the amount of corn ethanol that must be added to the nation’s gasoline supply.

The Environmental Protection Agency’s August 6 announcement underscores the need to reform the federal program known as the Renewable Fuel Standard. The law requires refiners to blend both conventional biofuels — corn ethanol — and advanced biofuels, such as soy biodiesel and cellulosic ethanol made from plant materials, into the supply of motor vehicle fuel. But with advanced biofuel technologies slow to commercialize, corn ethanol fills about 85 percent of the overall biofuels mandate.

EPA’s decision means that refiners must increase from 13.4 billion gallons to 13.8 billion gallons the amount of corn ethanol blended into gasoline this year. This is a clear sign that U.S biofuels policy is on the wrong track and must be reformed before more damage is done to the nation’s soil, water and air, and the global climate.

Environmentalists aren’t the only ones opposed to the biofuels mandate. Oil companies don’t like it either — for very different reasons, of course.


Source
Corn Futures Fall to Three-Year Low on U.S. Crop Outlook, Bloomberg
More Corn Ethanol In 2013 Means Environment, Consumers Lose Out, Environmental Working Group

John Upton is a science fan and green news boffin who tweets, posts articles to Facebook, and blogs about ecology. He welcomes reader questions, tips, and incoherent rants: johnupton@gmail.com.

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More corn grown in U.S. this year than ever before. Thanks, biofuels.

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California wins right to clamp down on carbon from gasoline, diesel

California wins right to clamp down on carbon from gasoline, diesel

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Pick your poison. Whatever your choice, it’ll be cleaner in California.

California can finally begin forcing producers, refiners, and importers of gasoline and diesel to reduce their effect on the climate following a legal victory on Wednesday.

The state began crafting its Low Carbon Fuel Standard [PDF] in 2007 — an effort to reduce the carbon footprint of fuels sold in the state by 10 percent. The carbon footprint is calculated by considering a wide array of factors, such as transportation of the fuels to gas stations and ways in which various biofuels are cultivated.

Energy interests sued, claiming out-of-state producers were put at an unfair disadvantage because importing fuel into California increased their climate impacts. And in 2011 they won — a federal judge in Fresno said the fuel standard violated the Constitution’s commerce clause. But on Wednesday that ruling was tossed out with a 2-1 decision by the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals. From the L.A. Times:

The decision allows the California Air Resources Board to begin implementing the law and restores the state’s ability to punish fuel wholesalers and refineries that sell gasoline or biofuels with carbon footprints that exceed California’s guidelines.

Air Resources Board spokesman Dave Clegern called the decision “a very good step for Californians and the fight against climate change.”

In the first year of the program, wholesalers were to reduce the carbon footprint of their products 0.25%.

The regulations require producers, refiners and importers of gasoline and diesel to reduce the carbon footprint of their fuel by 10% over the next decade as part of California’s goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions to 1990 levels by 2020.

The appeals court found that California has every right to act to reduce carbon emissions. From the San Jose Mercury News:

“Unless and until either the United States Supreme Court or the Congress forbids it, California is entitled to proceed on the understanding that global warming is being induced by rising carbon emissions and attempt to change that trend,” wrote Judge Ronald Gould in the majority opinion. “California, if it is to have any chance to curtail greenhouse gas emissions, must be able to consider all factors that cause those emissions when it assesses alternative fuels.”

Lawyers working for environmental groups helped California defend its right to impose the standards, and they celebrated Wednesday’s ruling. Natural Resources Defense Council attorney David Pettit said the ruling would help “spur American ingenuity to produce cleaner fuels” and “reduce pollution while decreasing the state’s reliance on oil.”

John Upton is a science fan and green news boffin who tweets, posts articles to Facebook, and blogs about ecology. He welcomes reader questions, tips, and incoherent rants: johnupton@gmail.com.Find this article interesting? Donate now to support our work.Read more: Business & Technology

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California wins right to clamp down on carbon from gasoline, diesel

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What’s the alternative?

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What’s the alternative?

Posted 26 August 2013 in

National

Today, the Washington Post editorialized against the Renewable Fuel Standard, relying on tired, oil industry arguments against the only policy that’s reducing our nation’s reliance on fossil fuel.

But since we’ve already published several posts fact-checking these sort of editorials, we’re not going to dive into the particulars of this column. Instead, we wanted to respond specifically to the Post’s policy recommendation:

The Post editorial board admits that their own preferred policy alternative, a carbon tax, would be difficult (if not impossible) to get through Congress. We wholeheartedly agree. In fact, without the low-carbon alternative fuels supported by the RFS, such as cellulosic ethanol, a carbon tax would be completely unworkable (both politically and economically).

So what’s the Post’s solution? Lawmakers should “choose another policy that encourages conservation and innovation without absurd central planning.” Conveniently enough, they do not offer a second alternative. While it’s easier to simply wish away the complex politics that surround our energy policy, we’re happy to remind lawmakers that the Renewable Fuel Standard already encourages conservation and innovation by helping reduce GHG emissions, making ethanol cheaper than gasoline and spurring the creation of the cellulosic ethanol industry. And while some would like to pretend that the pre-RFS status quo represented a nostalgic time of perfect market competition, we recognize that without the century of subisidies and preferential treatment enjoyed by the fossil fuel industry, alternative fuels face a much steeper uphill climb. The Renewable Fuel Standard is not “absurd central planning.” It’s a market-based solution to a long-standing economic challenge.

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What’s the alternative?

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USA Today: Renewable fuels make a difference

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USA Today: Renewable fuels make a difference

Posted 16 August 2013 in

National

From USA Today:

Congress shouldn’t weaken the Renewable Fuel Standard, which commits our country to using increasing quantities of clean-burning biofuels.

The RFS is one of the most successful energy policies ever. Since it was enacted in 2005, U.S. dependence on imported oil has decreased from 60% to 40% largely because of biofuels. American biofuels are good for our economic security, too. The American ethanol industry supports some 365,000 jobs in 29 states, especially in rural communities. In 2012, the industry contributed $43.4 billion to the gross domestic product, $30.2 billion to household incomes, and $8billion in federal, state and local taxes.

Because ethanol burns cleaner than gasoline, it reduces greenhouse gas emissions by 34% to 59%. Because ethanol costs less than gasoline, it saves motorists more than $1,200 per year.

When Congress crafted the RFS, it built in a great deal of administrative and market flexibility, allowing refiners and gasoline marketers to adjust to changing market dynamics that reduce the supply of biofuels. Last week, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) demonstrated the RFS’ flexibility once again by reducing the requirement for cellulosic (non-grain) ethanol.

Read the full article here.

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USA Today: Renewable fuels make a difference

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Alternative Energy Product Suite System Planning Standard Edition

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What a strange coincidence…

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What a strange coincidence…

Posted 26 July 2013 in

National

The other day, we noticed this ad on the Renewable Fuel Standard sponsored by the American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers (aka the fossil fuel lobby). As usual, they got most of the facts wrong, but here’s the funny thing: we were actually working on something similar. Isn’t ours so much nicer (and so much more accurate)?

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What a strange coincidence…

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Sorry, Wall Street Journal: Renewable Fuel Lowers Gas Prices

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Sorry, Wall Street Journal: Renewable Fuel Lowers Gas Prices

Posted 22 July 2013 in

National

In its new editorial, the Wall Street Journal is concerned you might be feeling some extra pain at the pump:

The summer is high driving season, so $4 gasoline in many parts of the country will add to the cost of family vacations.

And we couldn’t agree more. As they concede early on, the price of gas is mostly set by global supply and demand. But when the WSJ goes on to claim that the Renewable Fuel Standard is driving prices up even more, that’s when their argument fallsl apart. Renewable fuel actually lowers the price of gas, plain and simple.

Here’s what the WSJ gets wrong:

  1. The so-called blend wall is a fabrication, essentially the oil industry’s attempts to evade its responsibilities under the Renewable Fuel Standard. E15 fuel has been extensively tested and is ready for sale, and misinformation about its safety or efficiency only confuses consumers (who we know want more renewable fuel options when they fill up).
  2. The RFS and its associated “RIN credits” have not been a factor in higher retail gasoline prices, according to an analysis conducted by Informa Economics, Inc. In fact, the study found ethanol costs significantly less than gasoline at the wholesale level and is reducing pump prices for consumers across the country.
  3. Renewable fuel and the Renewable Fuel Standard are helping reduce carbon emissions. In 2012, the use of renewable fuel slashed greenhouse gas emissions by 33.4 million metric tons.

Remember this: as long as the WSJ continues to take its talking points straight from the oil companies, we’ll be here to make sure you’re getting the facts.

 

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Sorry, Wall Street Journal: Renewable Fuel Lowers Gas Prices

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