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Last year was the fourth hottest on record, or maybe the seventh

Last year was the fourth hottest on record, or maybe the seventh

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Our extreme-weather-wearied planet fell short in 2013 of breaking the record for hottest year in modern civilization, but it came close. Last year was either the fourth hottest since record-keeping began, or the seventh, depending on which U.S. agency’s data you most trust.

At the surface of the seas and everywhere else around the world, last year was an average of 1.12 degrees F warmer than the 20th century average, NOAA concluded. That made 2013 the 37th year in a row with above-average global temperatures, according to NOAA’s calculations.

NASA performed its own analysis, concluding that 2013 tied 2006 and 2009 as the seventh warmest year since 1880.

Weather.com explains that the discrepancy between the two agencies’ findings is no big deal:

Despite the gap between the two rankings — due to NASA’s “processing [temperature data] slightly differently than NOAA” in areas like the Arctic and Antarctica, NASA climatologist Gavin Schmidt said in a conference call — there’s actually little difference between them.

NASA and NOAA certainly agree that nearly all of the hottest years on record have occurred since the dawn of the new millennium. Notice that only one of the 10 warmest years does not start with the digits “2″ and “0,” according to NOAA:

NOAA

Click to embiggen.

With such a clear warming trend, it’s little wonder that climate skeptics are shifting from straight-out denialism to claiming that climate change is no big deal.

“If serious warming happens, we can adjust,” writes John Stossel in a typically unscientific column in the conservative Washington Examiner. “It will be easier to adjust if America is not broke after wasting our resources on trendy gimmicks like windmills.”


Source
Global Analysis – Annual 2013, NOAA
2013 Temperature Anomoly, NASA

John Upton is a science fan and green news boffin who tweets, posts articles to Facebook, and blogs about ecology. He welcomes reader questions, tips, and incoherent rants: johnupton@gmail.com.

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Last year was the fourth hottest on record, or maybe the seventh

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Dot Earth Blog: When Tourists Rescue Scientists in Antarctica

A leader of Antarctic tourist voyages in Antarctica explores the rights and responsibilities of anyone plying those icy waters. Read the article:  Dot Earth Blog: When Tourists Rescue Scientists in Antarctica ; ;Related ArticlesWhen Tourists Rescue Scientists in AntarcticaNational Park Proves a Hard Gift to GiveCuomo, Joined by Biden, Details Disaster Aid Plans ;

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Dot Earth Blog: When Tourists Rescue Scientists in Antarctica

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Antarctica’s Poet-in-Residence

Here’s what she wrote. Rita Willaert/Flickr The National Science Foundation sent Jynne Dilling Martin to Antarctica this winter (the austral summer) as an artist-in-residence. Below are two poems she wrote from there. “Am Going South, Amundsen” An oil painting of a jaguar eating an emperor penguin is the start of a daydream in the Royal Society library. Nineteen ponies wedged in narrow wooden stalls sail south; they will soon go blind from miles of radiant snow, lap at volcanic ash for a last smack of salt, be shot and fed to dogs. For now they sway this way, sway that. The magnetic needle dips. Only afterwards we ask if it cost too much. Will this species be here tomorrow or not? says the scientist to her assembled team. The ponies eat oats in silence, the instruments keep ticking, the icy water washes on and off the deck. A bell abruptly rings a warning: oxidative stress, methane concentrations, too much heat. The dragonfish lays her pearlescent eggs beneath the ice and for ten months stands guard. The sea-stars sway this way, sway that. We all hope for the best. The adaptive might survive, the needy will not. Then again, the adaptive likely won’t either. Sorry we realized too late: we wipe reindeer hair from our eyes, the glaciated passages too dazzling to quite see clearly. To keep reading, click here. Visit link: Antarctica’s Poet-in-Residence ; ;Related ArticlesBill Nye Wants To Wage War on Anti-Science Politics, Make a Movie—And Save the Planet From AsteroidsAntarctic Sea Ice Increase is Because of Weather, Not ClimateFor the Birds (And the Bats) ;

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Antarctica’s Poet-in-Residence

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Thousands of Species Found in a Lake Cut Off From the World for Millions of Years

Lake Vostok lies beneath 2.4 miles of the Antarctic Eastern Ice Sheet. Photo: NASA / GSFC

In a lake cut off from the world for maybe as much as 15 million years, beneath 2.4 miles of Antarctic glacier ice, scientists have discovered as many as 3,507 different species representing everything from bacteria and fungi to, maybe, even more complex multicellular life.

In 1956, Russian scientists set up the Vostok research station on a relatively flat patch of ice in the heart of Antarctica’s eastern ice sheet. Research soon showed that the reason the terrain was so smooth was because the camp was resting far above a giant lake—subglacial Lake Vostok. Starting around 35 million years ago, ancient climate change turned Antarctica from a green landscape into an icy one. The change in climate trapped Lake Vostok beneath the growing East Antarctic Ice Sheet, and, as the sea receded, the lake was cut off from the ocean.

Two decades ago, Russian scientists began the long project of drilling down into Lake Vostok, a mission they finally completed in February 2012. With the drilling done, the work of trying to figure out if anything is alive down there began.

Scientists working with water from Lake Vostok have found genetic material that they think represents up to 3,507 different species, they report in a recent paper. The genetic material came from lake water that had frozen to the bottom of the Antarictic glacier. Comparing the genetic material against a database of species from around the world that have had their genes sequenced the scientists say that more than a thousand of these line up with known lifeforms. The identified species were mostly bacteria, though there were also some eukaryotes (mostly fungi), and there were two species of archaea. NBC’s Alan Boyle describes what the genes might mean:

The sequences included close matches for various types of fungi as well as arthropods, springtails, water fleas and a mollusk. What’s more, some of the bacteria from the sample are typically found in fish guts — suggesting that the fish they came from may be swimming around in the lake.

…”While the current conditions are different than earlier in its history, the lake seems to have maintained a surprisingly diverse community of organisms,” the researchers wrote. “These organisms may have slowly adapted to the changing conditions in Lake Vostok during the past 15-35 million years as the lake converted from a terrestrial system to a subglacial system.”

A significant number of the sequences were linked to organisms that live around deep-sea hydrothermal vents, suggesting that such features exist at the bottom of Lake Vostok as well. “Hydrothermal vents could provide sources of energy and nutrients vital for organisms living in the lake,” the researchers said.

One of the scientists who worked on the study, Scott Rogers, explained to NBC’s Boyle that the fact that other genetic sequences didn’t line up with anything we’ve seen before doesn’t necessarily mean that these are entirely new species living down in subglacial Lake Vostok. Rogers says that though some of the lifeforms down there will probably be brand new, some of them are probably just things we already know about but whose genes haven’t been studied in-depth and put in the particular database the researchers used.

If these findings hold up and if there is life in Lake Vostok that is truly unique on Earth, the finding would be a testament to the hardiness of life. It would be a reassurance that life can persist in some of the harshest conditions and an encouraging finding for those looking for life elsewhere in the universe.

More from Smithsonian.com:

No Life Found In Lakes Beneath Antarctic Glaciers—Yet
Brand New, Never Before Seen Bacteria Found in Frozen Antarctic Lake—Maybe

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Thousands of Species Found in a Lake Cut Off From the World for Millions of Years

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Polar ice sheets are melting three times faster than during the ’90s

Polar ice sheets are melting three times faster than during the ’90s

It’s worse than we thought.

From U.S. News and World Report:

All of Earth’s major polar ice sheets except one have been rapidly losing mass — several gigatonnes per year — since 1992, accounting for about 20 percent of global sea level rise, according to a new report by multiple experts.

Scientists say this is the “clearest evidence yet” of polar ice losses, with nearly two thirds of all ice loss coming from Greenland. The only region with an increasing ice mass is Eastern Antarctica; ice sheets in west Antarctica, Greenland, and the Antarctic peninsula are melting and have caused about a half inch global sea level rise since 1992. …

Between 1992 and 2011, Greenland lost 152 gigatonnes of ice, West Antarctica lost 65 gigatonnes, and the Antarctic Peninsula lost 20 gigatonnes. East Antarctica gained about 14 gigatonnes of ice. A gigatonne is 1 billion metric tons.

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The Antarctic peninsula.

That’s a combined mass equal to about three times all biomass on the Earth. The half inch of ocean rise might also help explain the recent discovery that sea levels are increasing 60 percent faster than expected.

It gets a little worse still. From CNN:

Previous estimates of how much the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets contributed to the current 3 millimeter-per-year rise in sea levels have varied widely, and the 2007 report of the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change left the question open.

While the 19-year average worked out to about 20% of the rise of the oceans, “for recent years it goes up to about 30 or 40%,” said Michiel van den Broeke, a professor of polar meteorology at Utrecht University in the Netherlands. The rest comes from thermal expansion — warmer water takes up more space.

According to the Associated Press, the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets lost three times as much ice annually between 2005 and 2010 as during the 1990s.

The findings, released today, use the hot new tool in data analysis: averaging. Well, sort of. From The Washington Post:

The study by an international group of 47 experts who study satellite mapping data — led by Erik Ivins, a scientist at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, and Andrew Shepherd, a professor of earth observation at the University of Leeds — is the first to pull together 50 different ice-sheet-loss estimates over two decades and reconcile the research methods and findings into a single report.

As a result, the new findings “are now two to three times more reliable” than ice-melt and sea-level-rise estimates in studies used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to compile its most recent report in 2007, Shepherd said.

So in case you were hoping that the calculations were iffy: nope. They’re better.

We now present this new information, as acted out by Rachel Dratch.

Philip Bump writes about the news for Gristmill. He also uses Twitter a whole lot.

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