Tag Archives: rec

Health Care Premiums Have Grown 6% Per Year Since 2013

Mother Jones

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I’ve mentioned before that Obamacare premiums started out too low in their first year, which explains (a) why so many insurers have had trouble making money in the exchanges, and (b) why premiums increased so much this year. But maybe a chart will make this clearer.

This is based on data from Health Affairs last year, updated with the big increase in premiums this year. What it shows fairly clearly is that the cost of individual premiums dropped in 2014 when the Obamacare exchanges started up—even though Obamacare policies generally provided better coverage. When you factor in the big increase for next year, average premiums will have risen from $4,500 to $5,600 since 2013.

That’s an annual increase of 6.1 percent, about the same as the average annual increase in employer plans over the past decade.

The usual caveats apply. These are averages: some people do better, some do worse. And for people who qualify for Obamacare subsidies, the actual increase in the amount they have to pay is very small. Overall, though, the point here is clear: if premiums had just risen at a steady 6 percent per year, nobody would be bent out of shape. The reason this is hitting so hard is because insurance companies screwed up their projections when Obamacare started up and now they have to make up for it.

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Health Care Premiums Have Grown 6% Per Year Since 2013

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The Case Against Voting Booth Selfies

Mother Jones

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Justin Timberlake snapped a selfie in the voting booth yesterday, and lots of people were outraged that apparently there are laws against this. What happened to free speech!?!

Just for the record, then, there is a reason for selfie bans in voting booths: it prevents vote buying. After all, the only way it makes sense to pay people for their votes is if you have proof that they voted the way you told them to. Back in the day that was no problem, but ever since secret ballots became the norm vote buying has died out. Selfies change all that. If I give you ten bucks to vote for my favorite candidate for mayor, I can withhold payment until you show me a selfie proving that you voted for my guy.

How big a deal is this? I don’t know. Maybe we should go ahead and allow voting booth selfies. But the ban isn’t just a dumb bureaucratic rule. It’s a sensible attempt to prevent voter fraud that has very little cost.

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The Case Against Voting Booth Selfies

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Gigabit Internet? Wake Me When We Have Petabit Internet.

Mother Jones

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Who needs superfast internet, anyway?

A few dozen cities in America have next-generation broadband networks that offer speeds of 1 gigabit per second — about 50 times faster than a typical connection. These super-fast connections were supposed to revolutionize Americans’ experience of the internet and rev up the country’s noncompetitive broadband market.

….But six years after the first super-fast connections went live, even proponents concede no “killer” gigabit application has emerged. Most of their potential, critics say, is simply ignored by users. And building gigabit networks nationwide would be a colossally expensive undertaking.

I find this amusing because my local cable company is moving toward gigabit internet and has flooded my TV with breathless ads about what we can do with it. So far, the answer is: make 3D sugar concoctions, play some kind of holographic game of tag, and force grandpa to dance by taking control of his artificial digital legs.

“That’s what I’m going to do with Gigablast,” says the 3D food kid at the end of his ad. If that’s really the case, it makes me less likely to bother with it, not more.

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Gigabit Internet? Wake Me When We Have Petabit Internet.

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Weekly Poll Update

Mother Jones

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I forgot to do my weekly poll update yesterday, so here it is today. There are ups and downs in the numbers, but basically the race remains amazingly stable. Trump still hasn’t managed to break through his all-time high of 44 percent, and Clinton is currently leading him by 4.8 percentage points.

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Weekly Poll Update

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I’ll Be Liveblogging the Debate Tonight

Mother Jones

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I know what many of you are thinking. “Is Kevin going to liveblog the debate tonight? If he doesn’t, will I actually have to watch this dumpster fire?”

No worries. I’m a dedicated professional, and that means I’ll watch the debate so you don’t have to. And unlike certain other professionals I could name, I’ll try to fact check in real time. This is actually harder than you’d think, and Donald Trump’s firehose of lies wrapped in ignorance inside a fog of gibberish doesn’t make it any easier. But I’ll try.

The debate starts at 9 pm Eastern. I’ll start up a few minutes before then.

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I’ll Be Liveblogging the Debate Tonight

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Income Still Hasn’t Come Close to Recovering From the Great Recession

Mother Jones

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Today’s announcement that incomes increased 5 percent in 2015 was genuinely good news. But it’s also worthwhile to put it in perspective. As most of you know, income growth was very high in the 50s and 60s but slowed down after that. However, it didn’t flatline. Income continued to grow, only at a slower rate. However, since 2007 we’ve fallen far behind even that anemic growth rate:

Even with last year’s spike, the effects of the Great Recession are still with us. If we’d continued growing at the rate of 1980-2007, median household income would be $4,500 higher than it is. That’s a big hit. There’s still plenty of work to do.

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Income Still Hasn’t Come Close to Recovering From the Great Recession

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Quote of the Day: Jay Mathews’ Biggest Mistake Was Trusting Michelle Rhee

Mother Jones

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Jay Mathews has been covering local education for the Washington Post since 1996. Alexander Russo asked him what his biggest mistake has been in those past 20 years:

I think my major mistake was giving too much credit to the jump in achievement scores and the appointment of new principals under Michelle Rhee in the DC schools. The scores proved to be largely the result of test tampering and many of the new principals weren’t as good as they needed to be.

Has the cult of Michelle Rhee finally run its course? We can hope.

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Quote of the Day: Jay Mathews’ Biggest Mistake Was Trusting Michelle Rhee

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It’s the End of August and Hillary Clinton’s Lead Remains Clear and Steady

Mother Jones

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Is the presidential race tightening up? Let’s take a look. Here’s Pollster:

No tightening evident here. Here’s Sam Wang:

No tightening here either. If anything, Clinton has improved her position. Here’s Real Clear Politics:

Some slight tightening here since early August, when the convention bumps settled down. Maybe a point or so. Here’s Nate Cohn:

No tightening here. Here’s 538:

This is a percentage chance of victory, not a projection of vote share. Clinton has dropped a few points since early August.

Bottom line: Since early August, there’s either been no tightening in the polls, or, at most, maybe a point or so. Hillary Clinton is ahead by 6-8 points in the national polls, and so far that’s staying pretty steady.

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It’s the End of August and Hillary Clinton’s Lead Remains Clear and Steady

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Friday Cat Blogging – 19 August 2016

Mother Jones

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Here is Hopper posing for a glamor shot on a gray-and-white blanket that matches her coloring. We call this look “Blue Squeal.” She’s not the most cooperative model in the world.

Hilbert deserves the same treatment, of course, but that will have to wait until I get hold of a Shamu-colored blanket.

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Friday Cat Blogging – 19 August 2016

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Donald Trump’s Secret Weapon: The Non-Christian Christian Vote

Mother Jones

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Hmmm:

Catholics dislike Trump more than Romney, perhaps because Pope Francis doesn’t care for Trump. Or because Trump is a dick. Whatever. And among white evangelicals who attend church regularly, they’re just going to vote for the Republican, full stop.

But among white evangelicals who blow off church, Trump is much more popular than Romney was. Why? I suppose they sense quite accurately that Romney really was religious. Trump, on the other hand, says he’s religious but very clearly isn’t. This appeals to them. They’re apparently the kind of folks who want to call themselves Christians, but don’t care much for holier-than-thous who make them feel guilty—even just by their existence—for not acting Christian. That’s smart. Trump fits the bill perfectly.

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Donald Trump’s Secret Weapon: The Non-Christian Christian Vote

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