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Scientists: Current International Warming Target Is “Disastrous”

A new study dynamites a long agreed-upon climate goal. EU Humanitarian Aid and Civil Protection/Flickr Ever since the 2009 climate talks in Copenhagen, world leaders have agreed on 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees F) as the maximum acceptable global warming above preindustrial levels to avert the worst impacts of climate change (today we’re at about 0.8 degrees C). But a new study, led by climatologist James Hansen of Columbia University, argues that pollution plans aimed at that target would still result in “disastrous consequences,” from rampant sea level rise to widespread extinction. A major goal of climate scientists since Copenhagen has been to convert the 2 degree limit into something useful for policymakers, namely, a specific total amount of carbon we can “afford” to dump into the atmosphere, mostly from burning fossil fuels in power plants (this is known as a carbon budget). This fall, the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change pegged the number at 1 trillion metric tons of carbon, or about twice what we’ve emitted since the late 19th Century; if greenhouse gas emissions continue as they have for the last few decades, we’re on track to burn through the remaining budget by the mid-2040s, meaning immediately thereafter we’d have to cease emissions forever to meet the warming target. The study, which was co-authored by Columbia economist Jeffrey Sachs and published today in the journal PLOS ONE, uses updated climate models to argue that the IPCC’s carbon budget would in fact produce warming up to twice the international limit, and that even the 2-degree limit would likely yield catastrophic impacts well into the next century. In other words, the study says, two of the IPCC’s fundamental figures are wrong. “We should not use [2 degrees] as a target,” Hansen said in a meeting with reporters on the Columbia campus in Manhattan. “It doesn’t have any scientific basis.” A better target to avoid devastating climate impacts, Hansen said, would be 1 degree Celsius of warming (only slightly above what we’ve already experienced), although he readily admitted that such a goal is essentially unattainable. According to IPCC estimates, human activities have already committed us to that level of warming even if we suddenly stopped burning all fossil fuels today. A grim, but perhaps more realistic, vision of what the end of this century will hold comes from the the International Energy Agency, which predicts that temperatures could rise as much as 6 degrees Celsius by 2100 if greenhouse gas emissions continue unabated. To calculate the carbon budget, IPCC scientists used existing research on the warming power of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases, and extrapolated with future emissions predictions, according to Reto Knutti, a climatologist at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology who helped author the report’s section on carbon budgets. To be clear, the budget is not inscribed in any formal climate policy and was even dismissed by the UN’s climate chief as a poor basis for an international treaty; rather, it’s a guideline for how long we have to phase out fossil fuels. But in gauging carbon’s warming power, the IPCC’s climate models leave out the effect of some slow natural systems, like changes in the area of ice sheets and the release of methane from melting permafrost, Knutti said, because there is still some disagreement amongst scientists over what the exact impact of those will be, and also because these long-range cycles play out outside the time horizon of the IPCC, 2100. Hansen’s paper argues that the kind of warming the IPCC’s carbon budget would produce would bring these slow “feedbacks” into play, thus exacerbating warming even more and leading to a planet up to 4 degrees Celsius warmer than preindustrial times, much hotter than at any time in human history. The paper is the latest in a recent tide of research to make predictions even more dire than those in the IPCC, including on the topics of sea level rise and hurricane intensity. Since his retirement this spring as head of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, Hansen has increasingly embraced the role of science guru to the climate activism community, being arrested outside the White House alongside Sierra Club head Michael Brune in a protest of the Keystone XL pipeline in February and helping to launch Our Children’s Trust, a non-profit that helps young people sue the government for failing to prevent climate change. The paper was peer-reviewed, but Hansen said he produced it primarily as a tool for the courthouse, rather than the scientific debate hall. “We started this paper to provide a basis for legal actions against governments in not doing their jobs in protecting the rights of young people and future generations,” he said. See more here:  Scientists: Current International Warming Target Is “Disastrous” ; ;Related ArticlesScientists Re-Trace Steps of Great Antarctic Explorer Douglas MawsonHow Do Meteorologists Fit into the 97% Global Warming Consensus?Here’s Why Developing Countries Will Consume 65% of the World’s Energy by 2040 ;

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Scientists: Current International Warming Target Is “Disastrous”

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Magic Mike: How Bloomberg became the world’s greenest mayor

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Is Michael Bloomberg America’s climate hero? Wikimedia Commons It has become a common assertion, repeated ad nauseum by hack pundits such as yours truly, that New York City’s outgoing mayor, Michael Bloomberg, has become one of the world’s most forceful opponents of climate change. Journalists typically refer to Bloomberg’s blueprint for reducing New York’s carbon footprint and adapting to climate change, known as PlaNYC. But such passing references typically fail to offer details of how exactly Bloomberg has done it: What are the components of New York’s sustainability agenda, and what is the story behind its adoption? Into that void steps InsideClimate News with its e-book, Bloomberg’s Hidden Legacy: Climate Change and the Future of New York City. In almost 25,000 words, InsideClimate reporters Katherine Bagley and Maria Gallucci have brought us the definitive account of Bloomberg’s greatest achievement. Keep reading at Grist.

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Magic Mike: How Bloomberg became the world’s greenest mayor

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Magic Mike: How Bloomberg became the world’s greenest mayor

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Climate Talks: Wealthy Countries Urged to Foot Bill for Weather-Related Disasters

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Developing countries threaten to walk out of UN talks in Warsaw over failure to reach agreement on financial recompense. UNHCR Photo Download/Flickr The proposal by developing countries that their wealthier counterparts be held financially responsible for the damage incurred by extreme climate events such as typhoon Haiyan and droughts in Africa has become the most explosive issue at the UN’s climate change conference in Warsaw. With neither side prepared to give way on the principle, confrontation looms at the close of the talks on Friday. Earlier this year, governments agreed to resolve the issue of possible financial recompense. But with only two days of high-level negotiations remaining, positions have hardened, even though the issue has not been discussed. Some of the least developed countries have threatened to quit the talks over the situation. “This is a red line for us,” said Munjural Khan, a spokesman for the Least Developed Countries (LDC), a coalition of 49 nations that, though the most vulnerable to climate change, claim to have contributed the least to the problem. “We have been thinking of ways to harden our position, to the point of walking out of the negotiations.” To keep reading, click here.

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Climate Talks: Wealthy Countries Urged to Foot Bill for Weather-Related Disasters

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Climate Talks: Wealthy Countries Urged to Foot Bill for Weather-Related Disasters

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Philippines Faces “Nightmare” Recovery in Haiyan’s Wake

Bodies are piling up and camps for survivors are in chaos as relief workers struggle to get help where its needed. Marines carry an injured Filipino woman on a stretcher for medical attention, assisted by a Philippine Air Force airman at Vilamore Air Base, Manila. Caleb Hoover/U.S. Marines/ZUMAPRESS.com Super Typhoon Haiyan—also known locally as Yolanda—made landfall several times on Friday, leaving in its wake up to 10,000 casualties (a figure that comes from local officials on the island of Leyte and reported by the AP; the official Philippines government count is much lower). The Joint Typhoon Warning Center data reported sustained winds approached 195 miles per hour three hours before landfall, with gusts of up to 235 miles per hour. Stunningly scary footage captured by a CCTV/Weather Channel team during Haiyan’s height shows damaging storm surges ripping buildings apart, “like a tsunami.” The storm made landfall again in Vietnam on Monday morning local time.A difficult recovery effort, hampered by security threats, bottlenecks and an almost complete lack of communications, is still in its infancy in the Philippines four days after a powerful typhoon plowed through the country. The Philippines, a series of more than 7,100 islands, is no a stranger to tropical cyclones (this is the 24th just this year). And just as more than 9.5 million people who were in the storm’s path survey the damage and locate loved ones, the country is facing another tropical depression, Zoraida​. “We are always between two typhoons. The farther we are from the previous one, the nearer we are to the next one,” said Amalie Obusan, a Greenpeace climate campaigner in the Philippines, by phone. “Now it seems like a very cruel joke…Every year, every super typhoon is much stronger than the previous year.” Lynette Lim from Save the Children, an aid and development agency focused on the youngest disaster victims, survived the storm in the provincial capital Tacloban, perhaps the hardest hit city. She said the severity of Haiyan took everyone by surprise, scrambling preparation efforts, and setting the recovery back. “Most of the government officials were completely incapacitated to respond to the needs of children and their families.” Even now, four days later, Lim said, “We’re really starting from scratch.” Lim estimates that two out of every five dead bodies she saw were children. Reached by phone in Manila, where she had returned to help coordinate her organization’s response with the benefit of cell phone reception, Lim said she saw “widespread” evidence of malnutrition amongst children already hungry just days after the storm: ”It’s just quite a heartbreaking sight. Going without food for this many days could be fatal for them.” One of the most pressing concerns facing the recovery effort, said Lim, is installing proper management of camps for survivors. In Tacloban’s main sports arena, known as the Astrodome, which she said was housing an estimated 15,000 people, “the conditions are terrible because people are throwing their trash everywhere, and children are openly defecating because there are no portable toilets.” But relief resources cannot start flowing reliably until basics are met, and that’s going to take time: “Clearing the roads, there is no power, there is no water,” she said. “It’s really tough conditions for aid workers as well as for the survivors.” “It’s a nightmare really,” said Ian Wishart, CEO of Plan International Australia, who was en route to Leyte when we spoke via cell phone. “There are so many blockages, and the airport is at capacity…It’s a real challenge to get the aid workers in.” Wishart himself is hoping for a local flight from Cebu, a neighboring province, or a boat. Wishart, who still can’t account for all his own aid workers that were in the Philippines when the storm struck, said the world has yet to glimpse the real extent of the damage, and more and more tales of destruction will come out as relief teams reach devastated coastal communities in remote parts of the country. “It’s a day-by-day thing, a real emotional rollercoaster. Until you know, it’s very disconcerting,” he said. Wishart said the recovery will take two to three years. ”We desperately need support,” he said. “This is right up there alongside the 2004 tsunami response…in global terms, this is a very big disaster.” Emman Hizon, Deputy Secretary General of Akbayan, a socialist political party represented in the Philippines congress, is calling on the government to to ease bottlenecks in the relief effort. By phone, Hizon said the party had hundreds of volunteers, mainly corralled to help with medical needs, waiting for clearance to provide assistance in Leyte province, but they are being held up by security concerns. “Unfortunately, we’re still on standby awaiting for the government signal to tell us it’s okay to fly in volunteers.” Looting is widespread. A Red Cross convoy full of supplies that could have helped 25,000 families was attacked in Leyte, according to Richard Gordon, from the Philippines Red Cross. “There really is a breakdown of law and order,” Hizon said. Wishart said police have now been moved in, and there are regular check points and curfews set up, but he warned the complete picture will only emerge in the coming days. “These early days of a disaster are quite chaotic. And even the information I have could be hours old.” But with every one of those hours, Hizon said, the situation is worsening. “Bodies are piling up, and funeral services are not working, because the funeral workers themselves are victims of the storm. So bodies are lined up in the streets covered with blankets.” Meanwhile, the Philippines government is arguing that climate change is to blame. ”We cannot sit and stay helpless staring at this international climate stalemate. It is now time to take action,” said the Philippines’ international climate negotiator, Yeb Sano, in an article for the Guardian. Amalie Obusan from Greenpeace said that while the recovery was taking place, it was also important to press world leaders to consider the climate impacts of their decisions, especially as the UN climate conference in Warsaw gets underway. “The waters around the Western North Pacific are warmer now and that probably had given the typhoon some energy to intensify,” she said. “And even now while we say that we cannot possibly attribute individual storms to or individual extreme weather events to climate change, the patterns that we seen in the Philippines over the last many years are quite consistent with the projections for this region.” “It is real,” she said. “Seven out of 10 Filipinos said they’ve already experienced climate change…for Filipinos, and South East Asians in general, there is recognition that climate change is here.” Originally from: Philippines Faces “Nightmare” Recovery in Haiyan’s Wake Related Articles Philippines Urges Action to Resolve Climate Talks Deadlock After Typhoon Haiyan How Online Mapmakers Are Helping the Red Cross Save Lives in the Philippines The Supertyphoon and the Warming Globe

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Philippines Faces “Nightmare” Recovery in Haiyan’s Wake

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The Supertyphoon and the Warming Globe

Did climate change turn Haiyan into a monster? Fragile Oasis/Flickr Yesterday, the supertyphoon Haiyan made landfall in Vietnam and China. Reports are still coming in, but many are confirmed dead and there are certainly many more injured. There’s considerable damage to property, infrastructure, and so on. Luckily — if that word is even appropriate here — the storm had weakened considerably before hitting those countries. It was at its full and fearsome strength when it came across the Philippines last week, and the devastation there is almost beyond imaging. There are certainly thousands dead, with some estimates as high as 10,000. Over a half million people have been displaced, and millions more affected in one way or another. Humanitarian aid is pouring in, a bright spot in this dark moment. In situations like this, it’s common to ask why these things can happen, how these things can happen, and even to call them “an act of God.” To keep reading, click here. Originally posted here: The Supertyphoon and the Warming Globe Related Articles Philippines Urges Action to Resolve Climate Talks Deadlock After Typhoon Haiyan How Online Mapmakers Are Helping the Red Cross Save Lives in the Philippines MAP: Is Your State Ready for Climate Disasters?

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The Supertyphoon and the Warming Globe

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How 9 Major Papers Deal With Climate-Denying Letters

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The Los Angeles Times took a stand against climate misinformation on its letters page. Will other newspapers follow its lead? M. Unal Ozmen/Shutterstock If you’ve looked through the letters sections of US newspapers, you’ve probably read that human-caused global warming is a “hoax” and a “myth.” You’ve also likely read about how “mankind cannot change the earth’s climate” and how the carbon dioxide we release isn’t a “significant factor” driving global temperatures. But recently, the Los Angeles Times took a stand against this type of misinformation. Paul Thornton, the paper’s letters editor, wrote that he doesn’t print letters asserting that “there’s no sign humans have caused climate change.” Why? Because, he wrote, such a statement is a factual inaccuracy, and “I do my best to keep errors of fact off the letters page.” He cited the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s recent statement that scientists are at least 95-percent certain humans are causing global warming. Does this mean the Times will never publish a letter skeptical of climate change? Not necessarily. Thornton told Climate Desk that he evaluates all letters on “a case-by-case basis” and that he would consider running one from a climate scientist with “impeccable credentials” who disagreed with the scientific consensus. But he says those letters are unusual. “I don’t get a lot of nuance from people who question the science on climate change,” he explains. Rather, he says, letters frequently portray climate change as a “hoax” or a “liberal conspiracy.” Thornton’s announcement drew praise from some scientists and activists, and Forecast the Facts, an advocacy group “dedicated to ensuring that Americans hear the truth about climate change,” launched apetition drive calling on other major papers to follow suit. “The idea that opinion pieces should be based in the realm of facts is nothing new,” argues Brad Johnson, the group’s campaign manager. So how do other newspapers handle climate-denying letters? Climate Desk contacted editors across the country to find out. The Washington Post The Washington Post was one of several papers that said they agreed with the Los Angeles Times’ policy against running clearly inaccurate letters but argued that this still leaves significant room for publishing climate skepticism. “It’s our policy as well not to run letters to the editor that are factually inaccurate, so we wouldn’t publish a letter that simply says, ‘there’s no sign humans have caused climate change,’” Washington Post letters editor Mike Larabee said in an email. “That’s a broad absolute that doesn’t take into account the existence of large amounts of science indicating otherwise.” He added, however, that the Post wants its letters section to reflect a “broad spectrum” of views and that it has “published letters that are skeptical or raise questions about the scientific consensus. In general, these have been letters that we think make informed and interesting points challenging the science or the way it’s used. It’s a complex topic that’s no more above critical scrutiny than anything else.” Larabee pointed to recent letters printed by the Post, including one that stated, “Remember, had there not been climate change, we’d never have gotten out of the Ice Age.” The Dallas Morning News The Dallas Morning News doesn’t have “a firm policy” on climate change letters, according Michael Landauer, the paper’s digital communities manager, though he added that he plans to discuss the matter further internally. “In the past, we have run letters where people express doubt or take shots at those who accept the climate change consensus, but I’m not sure I would print one that says flat-out that there ‘is no sign’ climate change is caused by humans,” he wrote in an email. “It may be their underlying belief on which they base their letter, but if someone were to assert that in that way, I don’t think I’d allow it.” The Tampa Bay Times Tim Nickens, editor of editorials at the Tampa Bay Times, said that his paper has a “broad policy” that letters must be accurate. He said the paper probably wouldn’t print a letter asserting that “humans aren’t contributing to climate change at all” if that claim wasn’t backed up by scientific studies. He added that letters are assessed on a “case-by-case basis.” USA Today Brian Gallagher, editorial page editor at USA Today, said his paper has an “aggressive” fact-checking process that applies to all letters and op-eds and that it won’t print anything that is “flatly false.” Beyond that, he said, the paper gives letter-writers “as much latitude as possible…to express their opinions.” USA Today’s editorial board—which Gallagher oversees—has a clear stance on global warming: It’s real; there’s overwhelming evidence humans are causing it; and urgent action is needed. But Gallagher says that none of those positions is “completely closed out” from debate in the paper, so “it depends on the phrasing of the particular letter.” He explained that although the bar for disputing climate change is increasingly high, the paper might allow a writer to cite contrarian scientists in order to argue against the scientific consensus. Gallagher argued that the IPCC’s 95-percent certainty that humans are warming the planet doesn’t mean that contrary views should be left out of the paper. “Sometimes the 5 percent is right,” he said. “You have to give people who believe the 5-percent opinion their say.” So how does this play out in practice? Last week, USA Today published an editorial calling for action to mitigate and adapt to climate change. It also ran an “opposing view”column from Joseph L. Bast, president of the “free-market” Heartland Institute, who made the misleading argumentthat “no warming has occurred for the past 15 years.” On Thursday, USA Today printed a range of responses to its editorial, including a letter that asked: Could you please tell me why Americans should believe your editorial as opposed to the opposing view written by Joseph Bast, president of the Heartland Institute? His response makes as much sense to me as what you have written. The theme now is that so many things are tied to global warming, whether it be early snowstorms or the number of hurricanes this year. The American people are rightly confused, and all we can do is feel the weather. In Charlotte, we have had a colder than normal winter, spring and summer, so I am going with no global warming. The Plain Dealer Cleveland’s Plain Dealer treats its letters section as essentially self-correcting. “We don’t censor letters to fit our editorial board agenda…although our editorial board’s position is that global warming is happening and that the world needs to respond more urgently,” said Elizabeth Sullivan, opinion director for the Northeast Ohio Media Group, in an email. Sullivan said that the Plain Dealer tries not to publish “nonfactual” assertions like the hypothetical one cited by the Los Angeles Times (“there’s no sign humans have caused climate change”). But she suggested that a letterthe paper did run this summer—which claimed that “[s]ince there is no increase in temperatures, there certainly is no support for a greenhouse effect from carbon dioxide”—had been effectively refuted by subsequent letter-writers: Our readers, who include many scientists with expertise in this area, since Cleveland is home to a large NASA research center, offer their own corrective to readers who, in their view, hit foul balls in this arena. The July 15 [letter] you cite…was challenged by several readers in letters that we published in the following week. One of those letters noted that the July 15 letter writer did not provide specific data to back up his assertions, then discussed in detail the way long-since-discredited data are often used to support such assertions. This pattern tends to repeat itself when we carry letters and columns on this topic. The Houston Chronicle Jeff Cohen, executive editor, opinions and editorials, for The Houston Chronicle, has a similar take. “Letters columns are reflective of the community’s opinion, and, occasionally, even ill-informed writers get their say in print,” he said. “The letters are a continuing dialogue, and you hope that maybe the next one you receive corrects or addresses the issues that are contentious in the previous one.” Cohen added: “The goal is to provide a venue for the varying voices of Houston. The editorial page and the letters column is the marketplace of ideas. It’s the place where we have debates…A debate often happen because a wrong idea has been put forward.” The Denver Post “We will publish letters skeptical that humans are causing climate change, depending on what the rest of the content is,” said Denver Post editorial page editor Vincent Carroll in an email. In January, his paper ran a letter arguing that human-caused global warming is a “scam” perpetrated by “long-discredited propagandists” seeking to protect their government funding. Carroll expanded on his answer in a column Friday, writing that he is “reluctant to shut down reader discussion on issues in which most scientists may share similar views.” Carroll referenced a debate that took place in the Post’s letters section following the paper’s publication of a July column in which Charles Krauthammer criticized President Obama’s climate policy: Over a period of weeks, we published letters back and forth in reaction, covering issues such as the reliability of climate models, degree of scientific consensus and natural climate variability. Most skeptics of any sophistication recognize that global warming has occurred and appreciate that some or much of it in recent decades could be caused by human-generated greenhouse gas emissions. But they tend to believe, for example, that there are more uncertainties in the science than generally conceded, that the relative dearth of warming over the past 15 or more years is a blow to the models and that the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has demonstrated consistent bias in favor of alarmist interpretations. Surely readers should be free to debate such points. The San Diego Union-Tribune Asked on Twitter if his paper would “follow suit” after the Los Angeles Times announced its policy on climate change letters, San Diego Union-Tribune editorial and opinion director William Osborne responded, “No,” and added that his paper would “continue to print a full range of views on all issues.” Osborne subsequently elaborated over email: “We have always followed a policy of not publishing material in the newspaper that we know to be factually inaccurate; that’s nothing new for us, nor, I suspect, most newspapers. And, yes, we will continue to publish a full range of views on all issues. Those policies are not mutually exclusive.” Asked whether he considered the example cited by the Times—”there’s no sign humans have caused climate change”—to be factually inaccurate, Osborne responded: Yes, I do consider it to be factually inaccurate. I subsequently had a discussion with our letters editor to reaffirm our policy. And, to be clear, the editorial position of this paper for some time now has been that we accept the science that says the globe is getting warmer, and that it is caused in part by human activity. The question, in our view, is what to do about it. Reasonable people will differ about that, as the lack of action by Congress and many governments throughout the world demonstrates.

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How 9 Major Papers Deal With Climate-Denying Letters

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How 9 Major Papers Deal With Climate-Denying Letters

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WATCH: What’s Really Going on With Arctic Sea Ice?

Slate writer Phil Plait debunks the recent misinformation about melting ice and explains why you should care about climate change. Scientists announced today that Arctic sea ice has officially reached its minimum extent for the summer, shrinking to 5.1 million square kilometers. That’s significantly higher than last year’s record low of just over 3.4 million square kilometers, a fact that has led conservative news outlets and even members of Congress to suggest that worries about global warming and melting ice are overstated. But as astronomer and Slate writer Phil Plait explains in this video, these claims are “incredibly misleading.” “You can’t look year-to-year, that’s not the right way to do this,” says Plait. “The right way to do this is to look over a long period of time. And when you do that, you see that the minimum extent of sea ice in the Arctic is decreasing over time…the trend is definitely downward.” According to the National Snow & Ice Data Center, which tracks the ice melt, this year’s minimum extent was the sixth lowest in the 35-year satellite record. “The pattern we’ve seen so far is an overall downward trend in summer ice extent, punctuated by ups and downs due to natural variability in weather patterns and ocean conditions,” said NSIDC director Mark Serreze in a press release. “We could be looking at summers with essentially no sea ice on the Arctic Ocean only a few decades from now.” Or, as Plait puts it: “We’re below average. It’s getting worse over time. The cause is global warming. And the cause of that is us.” Continue reading here:  WATCH: What’s Really Going on With Arctic Sea Ice? ; ;Related ArticlesWatch: Congressman Makes “Completely Wrong” Claim About TemperaturePodcast: What It’s Like To Spend 55 Days in SpaceE.P.A. Rules on Emissions at Existing Coal Plants Might Give States Leeway ;

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WATCH: What’s Really Going on With Arctic Sea Ice?

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The Moon Had Water Since the Day It Was Born

The Bullialdhus Crater. It looks little, but it ain’t. Photo: NASA

The Moon was birthed from the Earth—a blob of molten rock sent spiraling off into space in the aftermath of a massive collision 4.5 billion years ago. Years of volcanic activity and bombardment by asteroids beat the Moon into its current form—a dry, desolate land. But, below its battered surface the Moon hides traces of its parentage: deep inside the lunar material, there’s water, says new research.

Water on the Moon may sound strange, but it’s actually been reported and confirmed many times over. Water has been found lining the walls of lunar craters, buried within the lunar surface layers, and in rocks collected by Apollo astronauts. But there is a huge difference between that previously discovered water and the water described in the new study, a project spearheaded by NASA’s Rachel Klima.

Researchers think that the crater water and the soil water arrived after the Moon was formed. Water can be delivered by icy comets or produced through chemical interactions with the solar wind. In the new study, however, the researchers looked at the huge 38 mile-wide Bullialdhus Crater. Scientists think that a giant impact at the center of the crater forced some of the Moon’s subsurface to the top—it’s a window that looks 4 to 6 miles into the Moon’s interior. In these interior lunar rocks the researchers found a spike in hydroxyl, one half of a water molecule, chemically attached to the Moon’s original material—a sign that it’s been there since the Moon was formed.

“I think it would be very tough to have this water be anywhere other than original to the material that formed the moon,” said Klima to ABC.

More from Smithsonian.com:

The Water On the Moon Probably Came From Earth
T Minus Three Days Until NASA Sends Two Satellites Crashing Into the Moon

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The Moon Had Water Since the Day It Was Born

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Meet the Town That’s Being Swallowed by a Sinkhole

What could possibly go wrong when miners, frackers, and drillers reshape the geology beneath our feet? Talk to the evacuees of Bayou Corne, Louisiana. About once a month, the residents of Bayou Corne, Louisiana, meet at the Assumption Parish library in the early evening to talk about the hole in their lives. “It was just like going through cancer all over again,” says one. “You fight and you fight and you fight and you think, ‘Doggone it, I’ve beaten this thing,’ and then it’s back.” Another spent last Thanksgiving at a 24-hour washateria because she and her disabled husband had nowhere else to go. As the box of tissues circulates, a third woman confesses that after 20 years of sobriety she recently testified at a public meeting under the influence. “The God of my understanding says, ‘As you sow, so shall you reap,’” says Kenny Simoneaux, a balding man in a Harley-Davidson T-shirt. He has instructed his grandchildren to lock up the ammunition. “I’m so goddamn mad I could kill somebody.” But the support group isn’t for addiction, PTSD, or cancer, though all of these maladies are present. The hole in their lives is a literal one. One night in August 2012, after months of unexplained seismic activity and mysterious bubbling on the bayou, a sinkhole opened up on a plot of land leased by the petrochemical company Texas Brine, forcing an immediate evacuation of Bayou Corne’s 350 residents—an exodus that still has no end in sight. Last week, Louisiana filed a lawsuit against the company and the principal landowner, Occidental Chemical Corporation, for damages stemming from the cavern collapse. Texas Brine’s operation sits atop a three-mile-wide, mile-plus-deep salt deposit known as the Napoleonville Dome, which is sheathed by a layer of oil and natural gas, a common feature of the salt domes prevalent in Gulf Coast states. The company specializes in a process known as injection mining, and it had sunk a series of wells deep into the salt dome, flushing them out with high-pressure streams of freshwater and pumping the resulting saltwater to the surface. From there, the brine is piped and trucked to refineries along the Mississippi River and broken down into sodium hydroxide and chlorine for use in manufacturing everything from paper to medical supplies. What happened in Bayou Corne, as near as anyone can tell, is that one of the salt caverns Texas Brine hollowed out—a mine dubbed Oxy3—collapsed. The sinkhole initially spanned about an acre. Today it covers more than 24 acres and is an estimated 750 feet deep. It subsists on a diet of swamp life and cypress trees, which it occasionally swallows whole. It celebrated its first birthday recently, and like most one-year-olds, it is both growing and prone to uncontrollable burps, in which a noxious brew of crude oil and rotten debris bubbles to the surface. But the biggest danger is invisible; the collapse unlocked tens of millions of cubic feet of explosive gases, which have seeped into the aquifer and wafted up to the community. The town blames the regulators. The regulators blame Texas Brine. Texas Brine blames some other company, or maybe the regulators, or maybe just God. Bayou Corne is the biggest ongoing industrial disaster in the United States you haven’t heard of. In addition to creating a massive sinkhole, it has unearthed an uncomfortable truth: Modern mining and drilling techniques are disturbing the geological order in ways that scientists still don’t fully understand. Humans have been extracting natural resources from the earth since the dawn of mankind, but never before at the rate and magnitude of today’s petrochemical industry. And the side effects are becoming clear. It’s not just sinkholes and town-clearing natural gas leaks: Recently, the drilling process known as fracking has been linked to an increased risk of earthquakes. “When you keep drilling over and over and over again, whether it’s into bedrock or into salt caverns, at some point you have fractured the integrity of this underground structure enough that something is in danger of collapsing,” observes ecologist and author Sandra Steingraber, whose work has focused on fracking and injection wells. “It’s an inherently dangerous situation.” The domes are not just harvested for their salt. Over the last 60 years, in the Gulf Coast—and to a lesser extent in Kansas, Michigan, and New York—industry has increasingly used the sprawling caverns that result from injection mining as a handy place to store things—namely crude oil, pressurized gases, and even radioactive materials. The federal government considers salt tombs in Louisiana and Texas ideal for the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve. The hundreds of salt caverns that honeycomb the substrata, as companies like Texas Brine take pains to point out, are mostly safe, most of the time. But when something goes wrong, the results are disastrous—sometimes spelling the end for nearby communities. The dangers are myriad, from sinkholes to natural gas explosions to toxic-fume releases. Salt caverns account for just 7 percent of all natural gas storage facilities in the United States (although that number is increasing) but 100 percent of all major accidents, according to one industry analyst. Bayou Corne residents need only drive a quarter mile down Highway 70 to see the worst-case scenario. On Christmas Day 2003, a methane leak from a Napoleonville Dome salt cavern storing natural gas forced residents of Grand Bayou, a neighboring hamlet, to evacuate. Dow Chemical, which owned the cavern, bought out the mostly elderly residents, leaving only concrete slabs behind. In places like Barbers Hill, Texas, similar leaks have turned once-thriving neighborhoods into ghost towns. A 2001 cavern leak in Hutchinson, Kansas, spewed 30-foot-tall geysers of gas and water and caused an explosion that left two people dead. “I hate to say, but it’s not an unusual event,” says Robert Traylor, a geologist at the Railroad Commission of Texas, the state’s oil and gas regulator. “These things happen. In the oil business, a million things can go wrong, and they usually go wrong.” But disasters like the one in Bayou Corne have done little to slow the growth of injection mining. Last spring, lawmakers in Baton Rouge pushed through a handful of modest reforms in response to the sinkhole, but the toughest regulations were knocked down by the chemical industry. New caverns continue to be permitted. It’s not a question of whether there will be another Bayou Corne—but where, and how big. On a scorching June morning, I board a Cessna to survey the sinkhole. My 45-mile flight passes through the heart of southern Louisiana’s industrial jungle, a continuous series of pipelines and processing plants that line the Mississippi as it twists like a busted-up slinky toward the gulf. The smoking skyline gives way to a checkered ribbon of cane and soybean fields and at last to the swampy interior of Assumption Parish. You notice the booms first, bright yellow plastic rolls designed to trap the oil and brine that collect on the surface and prevent them from seeping into the surrounding waterways. A grove of cypress trees has been stripped bare and sits gray and rotting. At 500 feet, the air is thick with the smell of crude, and the water has a rainbow sheen; in the last few hours, the sinkhole has burped again, and workers are scurrying to contain the new release. The Acadians—the French Canadian refugees who settled here in the 1700s—were drawn to the bayous by their bounty of gators and crawdads and spoonbills. Petrochemical giants came for other reasons: the chemicals in the salt domes and the oil and gas reserves that surround them. Gas and brine pipelines cross over and under the town and its surrounding swamps, carving up the basin into a web of rights of way for companies including Chevron, Dow, Crosstex, and Florida Gas. Texas Brine’s Oxy3 cavern, one of 53 in the Napoleonville Dome and one of six operated by the company, is more than a mile below the surface. At that depth, 3-D seismic mapping is both time-consuming and expensive, and as a consequence, injection-mining companies often have only a foggy—and outdated—idea of what their mines really look like. “Everybody wants to do it within a certain budget and a certain time frame,” explains Jim La­Moreaux, a hydrologist who organizes an annual conference on salt-cavern-caused sinkholes. In some cases, he says, it’s possible that companies cut corners and fail to commission the proper studies. Texas Brine’s first and last mapping project was in 1982, and by the company’s own admission, it understated Oxy3′s proximity to the edge of the salt dome and the possibility of a breach. When another company surveyed the dome a few years ago, it found that Texas Brine’s cavern was less than 100 feet from the outer sheath of oil and gas, far closer than is permitted in other states. While Louisiana had restrictions on gas storage caverns, it had nothing on the books for active brine wells—only what regulators called a “rule of thumb” that wells be set back 200 feet. When Texas Brine applied for a permit to expand Oxy3 in 2010, the company pressure-tested the cavern as mandated by the state, but it was unable to build up the requisite pressure, let alone sustain it. “At this time, a breach out of the salt dome appears possible,” Mark Cartwright, a Texas Brine executive, notified the state’s Department of Natural Resources. The DNR asked Texas Brine to “plug and abandon” the well. The agency did not, as it sometimes does, request further monitoring. Both parties expected the cavern to hold its shape, and it did until early June 2012, when Gary Metrejean felt the ground shake. “I didn’t want to say anything because I didn’t want everyone to think I was crazy,” he says. But his neighbors noticed it, too. And they also saw something else unusual—bubbles of gas (“like boiling pasta,” one resident recalls) appearing around the bayou. Oxy3 was starting to cave in, but at the time the community was at a loss. The state’s experts first suspected a leak from a natural gas pipeline, but that turned up nothing, so they investigated and ruled out the possibility that the bubbling might be “swamp gas”—naturally occurring emissions from decaying plant life. The US Geological Survey confirmed an increase in seismic activity but couldn’t determine its exact source—there are no fault lines in the area. At the end of July 2012, with tremors and bubbling increasing and no clear signs of subsidence, Texas Brine, which had emerged as a possible culprit, told state officials that a sinkhole was highly unlikely. On August 3, Bayou Corne residents awoke to the smell of sweet crude emanating from a gaping pit on the other side of the highway. Gov. Bobby Jindal issued an evacuation order that afternoon. Texas Brine got a permit to drill a relief well. When the company finally accessed the plugged chamber, they found the outer wall of the salt dome had collapsed. The breach allowed sediment to pour into the cavern, creating a seam through which oil and explosive gases were forced up to the surface. It has been well established that structurally challenged caverns, owing to a lack of maintenance or poor planning, can cause sinkholes. In 1954, the collapse of a brining cavern at Bayou Choctaw, north of Baton Rouge—located in the same dome that today houses part of the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve—created an 820-foot-wide lake. In 2008, a 150-foot-deep crater known as “Sinkhole de Mayo” opened up over a cavern 50 miles northeast of Houston that had been used for storing oil drilling waste. But those disasters were all due to top-down pressure. Oxy3 collapsed from the side, something regulators and briners had previously considered impossible—highlighting, once again, how poorly understood the geology of salt caverns truly is. Texas Brine’s official line is that it has no idea why its cavern suddenly gave way; a mess appeared on its property without warning, and it is doing the responsible thing by cleaning it up. Yet it didn’t begin paying buyouts to evacuees until nine months after the collapse, when Jindal threatened to shut down its Louisiana operations if it didn’t. The settlements come with no admission of wrongdoing—to the contrary, the company insists the town is perfectly safe, and that residents (some of whom have defied the evacuation order) are taking advantage of Texas Brine’s generosity by accepting weekly $875 stipends for living expenses while never leaving their homes. Only 59 homeowners have taken deals so far; others have signed onto a class action lawsuit against the company that’s set to go to trial next year. Celebrity activist Erin Brockovich has been shuttling back and forth to Bayou Corne enlisting plaintiffs. “I just don’t think anyone’s gonna live there again,” she says. “And if no one lives there, what desire is there for Texas Brine to clean it up? It’s a tragedy really all the way around.” I meet Millard Fillmore “Sonny” Cranch, a crisis PR specialist retained by Texas Brine, in a trailer a hundred yards from the edge of the sinkhole. Nearby are two storage silos emblazoned with the company’s slogan, “Texas Brine. Responsible Care.” Cranch is a self-described “old fart” with Harry Potter glasses that wrap around his curly white hair and a habit of pounding the steering wheel when he wants to make a point. The company’s cleanup crew is rounding the “clubhouse turn,” he explains, and they believe the sediment level in the cavern is stabilizing; the sinkhole may still expand slightly, and the burps might continue, but the worst is in the past. Truth be told, he’s not even sure why the evacuation order is still active, but hey, if there’s a “perceived risk,” then safety first, right? According to Cranch, most of the gas that has been detected in explosive levels under the community is “naturally occurring swamp gas.” (State officials aren’t so sure.) Besides, Cranch tells me, it’s not as if there’s anything particularly menacing about hydrogen sulfide. “Flatulence is H2S,” he says, sensing a chance to lighten the mood. “You’re producing H2S as we speak right now.” In the car, Cranch says this morning’s burp hadn’t released much oil, but once we get to the site and inhale the fumes, he quickly revises his estimate upward: “I lied—that’s more than five gallons.” While the DNR warns that accurate measurements are difficult, John Boudreaux, the Assumption Parish director of emergency preparedness, told me more than 300 gallons had surfaced. (In July, Boudreaux double-checked the company’s estimate of the sinkhole’s depth—140 feet, Texas Brine claimed—and found that it had understated the figure by a factor of five.) Given the class action, Texas Brine has a financial interest in deflecting the blame. During our outing, Cranch floats two possible culprits for the sinkhole: an oil well that another company drilled just outside the edge of the dome in the 1950s, or perhaps an earthquake. This isn’t the official Texas Brine position, he’s careful to add—”that’s just Millard Cranch, theorizing.” The locals find such theories particularly irksome. “They think we’re just a bunch of ignorant coonasses,” says Mike Schaff, who like a few dozen Bayou Corne residents has ignored the evacuation order and stayed in his home. “We may be coonasses—but we’re not ignorant.” Ignorance, willful or otherwise, is inextricable from what happened in Bayou Corne. Not only do Louisiana regulators have a poor grasp on how miners may be disturbing subsurface geology, they also have a pretty vague sense of how many caverns are located close to the outer ring of salt domes. In January, the Department of Natural Resources ordered companies with salt caverns to provide their most recently updated maps, and the agency is working on rules that would require additional modeling of the 29 caverns that are within 300 feet of an edge. And the agency is proposing regulations mandating that caverns be shut down and monitored for five years, rather than simply plugged and abandoned, if they fail a mechanical integrity test. That’s a start. But Wilma Subra, a MacArthur “Genius Grant”-winning chemist who advises the Louisiana Environmental Action Network, a group that’s been monitoring the Bayou Corne sinkhole, is dubious that any meaningful action will be taken. “The regulatory climate is such that agencies are only allowed to put forth regulations that the industry supports,” Subra says. Meanwhile, she adds, “What occurred in Bayou Corne shows what could potentially occur in any number of the other salt domes that have storage caverns.” Just down the road from what’s left of Bayou Corne, the slabs and dead grass of Grand Bayou stand as a warning, albeit one nobody paid much attention to. There’s a road sign on the water’s edge bearing an Oliver Wendell Holmes quote: “Where we love is home—home that our feet may leave but not our hearts.” The sign includes a date to mark the beginning of the settlement. There’s no year of death, but it reads like the town’s tombstone. Back at the Assumption Parish library, Candy Blanchard has the floor and she’s rolling. The exodus is on everyone’s mind. She and her husband were planning out their retirement in a community their families had called home for generations. “Anybody who stays here and camps here, you gotta wanna be here,” she says. “I mean, it’s not a booming place.” They hunt, they fish, they frog—or they did, anyway. But for the last 10 months, they’ve been crashing with friends in Paincourtville, and her husband has fallen into depression. Every morning, Blanchard, an elementary school teacher, breaks down on her drive to work and collects herself in the parking lot. But there’s something about her odyssey her students seem to grasp immediately. “I taught migration this year,” she tells the sniffling room. “It was the easiest lesson I’ve taught in my entire life.” View this article:  Meet the Town That’s Being Swallowed by a Sinkhole ; ;Related ArticlesTesla Motors Earns $26 Million in the 2nd Quarter—Thanks to the GovernmentIs Keystone XL a Distraction From More Important Climate Fights?Keystone Light: The Keystone XL Alternative You’ve Never Heard of Is Probably Going to Be Built ;

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Meet the Town That’s Being Swallowed by a Sinkhole

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Arctic Thawing Could Cost the World $60tn, Scientists Say

Methane released by a thinning permafrost may trigger catastrophic climate change and devastate global economy. Polar Cruises/Flickr Rapid thawing of the Arctic could trigger a catastrophic “economic timebomb” which would cost trillions of dollars and undermine the global financial system, say a group of economists and polar scientists. Governments and industry have expected the widespread warming of the Arctic region in the past 20 years to be an economic boon, allowing the exploitation of new gas and oilfields and enabling shipping to travel faster between Europe and Asia. But the release of a single giant “pulse” of methane from thawing Arctic permafrost beneath the East Siberian sea “could come with a $60tn [£39tn] global price tag”, according to the researchers who have for the first time quantified the effects on the global economy. Even the slow emission of a much smaller proportion of the vast quantities of methane locked up in the Arctic permafrost and offshore waters could trigger catastrophic climate change and “steep” economic losses, they say. To keep reading, click here. See original: Arctic Thawing Could Cost the World $60tn, Scientists Say Related Articles Climate Change Slowdown is Due to Warming of Deep Oceans, Say Scientists The Alberta Oil Sands Have Been Leaking for 9 Weeks CIA Backs $630,000 Scientific Study on Controlling Global Climate

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Arctic Thawing Could Cost the World $60tn, Scientists Say

Posted in ATTRA, eco-friendly, FF, G & F, GE, Monterey, ONA, PUR, solar, solar power, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , | Comments Off on Arctic Thawing Could Cost the World $60tn, Scientists Say