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This Democrat Wants to Double the Gas Tax

Mother Jones

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This story was first published by CityLab and is reproduced here as part of the Climate Desk collaboration.

The federal gas tax that pays for America’s highways hasn’t been raised in decades, but that doesn’t stop some determined lawmakers from trying. The latest effort comes via Sen. Tom Carper of Delaware, who has introduced a plan to raise the tax four cents a year for four years then index it to inflation so it remains effective over time. The move would ultimately bring the fuel tax to 34 cents a gallon—nearly double the existing rate of 18.4 cents.

That might seem like a big bump, but even a gas tax twice as high as the current one would be incredibly low by global standards. A US Department of Energy review of fuel taxes among Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries in 2011 placed the US just about at the bottom of the pack. Kyle Pomerleau of the Tax Foundation recently updated these figures to reflect 2013 tax rates via OECD data—and found very little change.

We’ve charted Pomerleau’s findings here:

CityLab

The US rate of 53 cents a gallon reflects the federal gas tax as well as the average state tax. Adding Carper’s 16 cents wouldn’t budge the US position way at the back of the pack—nor would doubling the entire 53 cent average. As the numbers stand, lawmakers would have to raise the average gas tax at least eight-fold for Americans to pay the steepest rate in the world.

In that context, Carper’s plan seems like quite the bargain. A higher gas tax would help stabilize the Highway Trust Fund, which has staved off bankruptcy in recent years through a series of short-term funding patches and dubious transfers from the general taxpayer fund. And 34 cents is about what the gas tax would be today if it were indexed to inflation anyway, according to the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy. The legislation even comes with a tax credit to reduce the hardship high fueled costs cause for the car-dependent middle class.

So what’s not to like? The short answer if you’re a federal lawmaker: the entire discussion. Official routinely dismiss gas tax hikes out of hand; as Paul Ryan said this June, We’re not going to raise the gas tax.” As James Surowiecki recently wrote in The New Yorker, the opposition begins with anti-tax conservatives but extends to liberals who fear political reprisal—creating a bloc of Congressional inaction that defies general bipartisan support for road maintenance, as well as common sense:

Indeed, the refusal of Congress to raise the gas tax is the ultimate expression of how reflexive and irrational the resistance to taxes has become. Opposition to higher income taxes has some theoretical justification: higher marginal rates discourage people from working more and investing. Seen in one light, they’re a penalty for success. But no such argument exists against the gas tax: all it does, in essence, is ask drivers to pay for the roads they use.

There are arguably better ways to get drivers to pay for roads—a per-mile driving fee chief among them—but none with the ease of implementation and immediate funding relief that even a modest gas tax hike like Carper’s would provide. Americans should one day strive to pay the full social cost of driving. Until then, recovering enough money to pay for basic highway upkeep is the least that good government can do.

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This Democrat Wants to Double the Gas Tax

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7 Things We Hate About Belgium

Mother Jones

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Our glorious fighting boys of the US men’s soccer team are playing Belgium today in their first elimination match of the World Cup.

We want the US team to win. You should too!

Here are some of the things we hate most about Belgium.

1. King Leopold II
This guy! He oversaw one of the cruelest regimes in history in the Congo. His regime was responsible for 10 million Congolese deaths. If there is a hell, King Leopold is burning in it.

2. Tintin
Sure he’s cute and so is the dog. But he’s a terrible reporter and also Herge was a real racist.

A frame from Tintin’s first adventure, “Tintin in the Congo” Wikimedia Commons

3. The Smurfs
Did you know that possibly the most annoying cartoon franchise in the history of animation was set in a Belgian socialist village? No amount of French fries will make up for that crime against humanity.

4. Dr. Evil
Not only is he evil, and Belgian, but he was a seminal character in one of the most grossly overrated, discussed, and imitated films of the 1990s.

5. Jean-Claude Van Damme
He’s quite good at kicking, but Street Fighter was awful. Also, 1999’s Universal Soldier: The Return, in which “the Muscles from Brussels” has to off a rampaging fight computer-led robot army. Critics were not impressed. As the New York Post put it, Van Damme’s accent “makes Stallone sound like a master of elocution”.

6. Belgian waffles aren’t even a thing in Belgium
“What is known in North America as the ‘Belgian waffle’ does not exist in Belgium,” sayeth Wikipedia.

7. They are somehow even worse than us on gender equality.
For all the flack the United States gets over gender equality, the US actually beats Belgium handsomely on a few important counts. In 2011, the last year that data is available, 90.1 percent of US women got at least a secondary education. In Belgium, only 72 percent did. In the US, the boards of publicly traded companies are 12 percent women. In Belgium? 10.8 percent. In the US, 57 percent of women were at work in 2012— way above the OECD average of 54 percent, and way, way above Belgium’s rate of 47 percent.

No surprise that a country with fewer women in the workplace also has fewer women overseeing things. In 2008, the last year for which data is available, 13.9 percent of US working women held down some managerial responsibilities—more than double the OECD average that year. In Belgium, only 8 percent of working women were managing anything. Worse yet, that figure has fallen to 4.7 percent as of 2011.

On the other hand Audrey Hepburn is from there and she was the best. Still, all in all, USA > Belgium.

Via ohmyglobyougays.tumblr.com/

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7 Things We Hate About Belgium

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The British Economy Is Not a Poster Child for Austerity

Mother Jones

Keith Humphreys notes that economic growth over the past year has been similar in Britain and the United States even though the two countries adopted very different responses to the Great Recession:

But don’t expect the similar levels of growth in the two countries to shake many people’s faith in their economic views. Most of the “slim government” crowd will argue that Britain didn’t cut enough (or that the U.S. growth isn’t real) and that’s why the U.K. hasn’t left the U.S. in the dust. Most increased government spending supporters will see proof that the stimulus wasn’t big enough (or that the U.K. growth isn’t real) because if it had been U.S. growth would be dwarfing that of the sceptred isle.

Many people seem to have stable preferences about whether they want government bigger or smaller. They will point to current economic conditions as the reason for why their preferences should prevail, but their preferences do not change when those putatively justifying economic conditions fade away. Neither are most people fazed when the government spending policies they support (as well as those that they oppose) deliver different results than they expected. Motivated reason is such a force in this particular policy area that rather than arguing over what current economic conditions particularly require, debaters are probably better off cutting to the chase and arguing directly about the real issue: Disagreement about how big or small we want the government to be.

I don’t think this is fair. If you want to compare Britain and the US, you have to look at their entire growth trajectory since the start of the recession. The chart on the right is taken from OECD numbers, so it’s an apples-to-apples comparison. And really, there is no comparison. As of 2012 (the most recent figures available from the OECD) Britain’s GDP was still 3 percent below its 2007 level. By contrast, US GDP was 4 percent above its 2007 level.

We can argue all day long about what caused this divergence, but I think the raw data is fairly unequivocal. Whatever the reason, the US economy really did suffer less and recover more robustly than the British economy.

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The British Economy Is Not a Poster Child for Austerity

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Exxon’s predictions for 2040: More oil use, more electricity use, more, more, more

Exxon’s predictions for 2040: More oil use, more electricity use, more, more, more

The first thing you should know about Exxon’s 2013 “Outlook For Energy” report, the latest in an annual series that makes predictions about energy use to 2040, is that climate change is mentioned twice. In both cases, the expression is followed by the word “policies.”

So, with that big grain of salt, an oil tanker-sized grain of salt, what does Exxon portend for energy use on our little, warming planet? The toplines:

“Efficiency will continue to play a key role in solving our energy challenges.” Energy use by developed nations will stay flat.
“Energy demand in developing nations [those not in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, or OECD] will rise 65 percent by 2040 compared to 2010, reflecting growing prosperity and expanding economies.” This increase will mean a 35 percent rise in energy demand globally.
“With this growth comes a greater demand for electricity.” This increased demand for electricity will account for half of the overall increase in demand for energy.
“Growth in transportation sector demand will be led by expanding commercial activity as our economies grow.” Exxon will keep making money off cars and shipping …
“Technology is enabling the safe development of once hard-to-produce energy resources, significantly expanding available supplies to meet the world’s changing energy needs.” … and fracking.
“Evolving demand and supply patterns will open the door for increased global trade opportunities.” North America will start exporting oil.

I mean, that’s pretty grim, if predictable. As living standards increase, so does energy use. And even if the largest energy users — read, greenhouse gas emitters — level off (which is questionable), growth elsewhere in the world more than makes up for it. So by 2040, the world, warmer thanks to what we’ve already emitted, will keep adding to greenhouse gas pollution as it adapts to shifts in climate — and 2 billion more people.

The problem is summarized in these graphs:

Click to embiggen.

OECD CO2 emissions drop; non-OECD emissions rise. That’s that. Thanks for visiting our planet, hope you enjoyed your stay.

In fact, by 2040 demand for energy in non-OECD countries will be twice that of OECD countries …

Click to embiggen.

… largely due to residential electricity use.

Click to embiggen.

Generation of that electricity will come mainly from coal until 2025. Renewables will be a slowly growing part of the mix.

Click to embiggen.

This is a pretty remarkable look at fuel use over time. Even in 2040, more than 80 percent of fuel consumption will be from non-renewable sources, Exxon believes.

Click to embiggen.

Exxon does consider the effects of a carbon tax or other carbon price (though it insisted this morning that it isn’t seeking one). It expects such taxes will be in place in various countries by 2040 (note the subtle red/yellow/green coloration).

Click to embiggen.

It also estimates how fuel prices will be affected as a result. With a tax in place, coal will be more expensive than anything but solar, according to Exxon — though that doesn’t include the “reliability cost” of renewable sources.

Click to embiggen.

Here’s what Exxon cares about the most: oil use.

Click to embiggen.

For Exxon, sunny days are here to stay. Which is bad news, because the heat from that sun is increasingly being trapped in our atmosphere by greenhouse gases, slowly but surely upending life as we know it.

And there’s your real prediction for 2040.

Source

The Outlook For Energy: A View To 2040, ExxonMobil

Philip Bump writes about the news for Gristmill. He also uses Twitter a whole lot.

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Exxon’s predictions for 2040: More oil use, more electricity use, more, more, more

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