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Explained in 90 Seconds: Breaking the Carbon Budget

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To avoid catastrophic climate change impacts, 37 percent of fossil fuels held by publicly listed companies should stay buried. As we reported this week, some of the world’s richest nations are lagging behind on their climate protection pledges. Most often, these commitments follow the formula: “We aim to reduce greenhouse gas emissions X percent below year Y levels by year Z.” It seems like a straightforward proposition, but have you ever wondered where those numbers come from? The answer is a scientific concept known as the carbon budget, and like a teenager with her first credit card, we’re well on our way to blowing right through it. In the video above, Kelly Levin, a climate policy expert at the World Resources Institute, explains what our carbon budget is, how much we’ve already “spent,” and why it matters. Back in 2009, delegates to the UN climate summit in Copenhagen agreed that in order to avoid the worst potential impacts of climate change, global temperature rise should be limited to 2 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels. For their report this fall, scientists on the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change looked at how emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases have warmed the planet since the Industrial Revolution, and extrapolated how much more we could emit before breaking the Copenhagen limit, the same way you might draft a budget to keep your checking account balance above zero. The IPCC set our total carbon budget since the Industrial Revolution at about 1 trillion metric tons of carbon. Today, we’ve already spent over half of that (largely thanks to just 90 companies, as Climate Desk partner the Guardian reported yesterday). If projections for future emissions hold true, Levin says, we’ll eat through the rest of the budget by 2044. That means that if we want to stick to the 2-degree C limit, we’d have to immediately cease all emissions, everywhere on Earth, on the first day of 2045. Turn off every fossil-fuel-fired power plant, charge every car only on renewable electricity, etc. Given the cruddy international track record of reaching even basic climate agreements—yesterday, 132 countries walked out of UN climate talks in Warsaw—that kind of turn-on-a-dime shift seems unlikely to happen. Instead, Levin argues, if we take measures to cut emissions starting now, we can stretch the budget much longer and give ourselves that much more time to clean up the energy system. Which brings us back to those 90 companies, and many more who count unburned fossil fuels (still-buried coal, oil, and gas) among their bottom-line assets. No matter how long we drag it out, consuming all the world’s fossil fuels would burn straight through the budget, and then some. Burning the total volume of fossil fuels now held in reserve by publicly listed companies would emit the equivalent of 762 metric billion tons of carbon, according to a recent analysis by the Carbon Tracker Initiative. But we’ve only got about 485 billion left in the budget. In other words, if world leaders come together to actually enforce the Copenhagen warming limit, roughly 37 percent of the fossil fuels held by those companies will need to stay in the ground. This is where the carbon budget becomes a carbon bubble: Companies valued on the basis of their fossil fuel holdings could find the rug pulled from under them if those holdings become impossible to sell. Recently, Al Gore and investment banker David Blood (who have collaborated on a consulting firm to help companies divest from fossil fuels) estimated the value of these “stranded assets” at some $7 trillion. So the question now is: Are we really going to smash our carbon piggy bank? Watch Kelly Levin explain, above.

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Explained in 90 Seconds: Breaking the Carbon Budget

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Explained in 90 Seconds: Breaking the Carbon Budget

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Polar Bear Attacks: Scientists Warn of Fresh Dangers in Warming Arctic

Two people injured in latest attack as hungry bears deprived of access to sea ice increasingly look for food on land. Martin Lopatka/Flickr A polar bear attack in Canada that left two people injured has brought new warnings from scientists of a dangerous rise in human-bear encounters in a warming Arctic. The friends had just walked out of the door in the pre-dawn hours after a party when the young polar bear crept up behind them, unheard and unseen. By the time, the bear was driven off by neighbours wielding a shovel, banging pots and pans, and firing multiple rounds from a shotgun, two people were badly mauled: the young woman who was the original target of the attack and an older male neighbour who tried to come to her rescue. Continue reading on The Guardian. View original –  Polar Bear Attacks: Scientists Warn of Fresh Dangers in Warming Arctic ; ;Related ArticlesCarbon Farming: It’s a Nice Theory, but Don’t Get Your Hopes UpClimate Change Seen Posing Risk to Food SuppliesWATCH: One Year After Sandy, Breezy Point Rebuilds ;

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Polar Bear Attacks: Scientists Warn of Fresh Dangers in Warming Arctic

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Dot Earth Blog: A Risk Communicator Says Industry Should Embrace Labeling of Genetically Modified Foods

A longtime risk communicator says industry should drop its fierce opposition to GMO labels. Link:  Dot Earth Blog: A Risk Communicator Says Industry Should Embrace Labeling of Genetically Modified Foods ; ;Related ArticlesA Risk Communicator Says Industry Should Embrace Labeling of Genetically Modified FoodsEarthquake Shakes Remote Area of TaiwanBill Limiting Pesticide Use on Hawaii Island Is Vetoed ;

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Dot Earth Blog: A Risk Communicator Says Industry Should Embrace Labeling of Genetically Modified Foods

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WATCH: Drought-Hardy Barley Could Save Your Beer

Just in time for Oktoberfest, genetic research on barley could save a staple crop from drought… and keep the beer flowing. Raise a glass to these German scientists, who are working out a way to protect a key beer ingredient from climate change. As Oktoberfest rages on, geneticist Nils Stein is deciphering the genome of barley, looking for genes that could help the plant survive through droughts. The study’s implications go beyond these beer tents. Barley is the fourth most-produced cereal in the world; a recent drought in Russia that hurt barley production led to a global price spike. And a drought that devastated Syria’s barley crop contributed to that country’s civil war. Join Climate Desk on a trip from some of the world’s most advanced greenhouses to the rowdy crowds of Munich. Produced in part by a grant from the Heinrich Böll Foundation. Visit site –  WATCH: Drought-Hardy Barley Could Save Your Beer ; ;Related ArticlesGet Ready for Record Temperatures…for the Rest of Your LifeCampaign Against Fossil Fuels Growing, Says StudyBill Gates explains why fake meat is the future ;

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WATCH: Drought-Hardy Barley Could Save Your Beer

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Why Big Coal’s Export Terminals Could be Even Worse Than the Keystone XL Pipeline

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Warhammer Battlefields: Northern Wastes – Games Workshop

‘In the Northern Wastes there is naught but death and madness, yet countless tribes dwell within, fighting for the glory of their twisted gods. Every sane Druchii fears the day when these barbarians stop warring against one another long enough to turn their attention towards our borders.’ Northern Wastes is a two player Warhammer campaign that can be set any […]

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Crochet One-Skein Wonders – Judith Durant & Edie Eckman

Finally, a One-Skein Wonders book just for crocheters! Edie Eckman and Judith Durant offer 101 great crochet projects — from jewelry and scarves to bags, hats, dresses, and home dec items — that each use just one skein of yarn. Whatever your experience level, you’ll find something here to delight you!

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Warhammer: Dark Elves – Games Workshop

From the desolate wastes of Naggaroth the Dark Elves march forth to enslave the world. Ruled over by the heartless Witch King, they are a race of infinite cruelty and evil. Ancient sorceresses wield hateful dark magics and bathe in the blood of their victims to keep themselves young, while pitiless knights ride cold blooded steeds into battle. Warhammer: Dar […]

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How to Paint Citadel Miniatures: Space Marines – Games Workshop

The First Founding Space Marine Chapters are the foundation of the Adeptus Astartes, each one distinct with its own iconography, colours and markings. When they march to war the symbols of the Chapter strike fear into their foes, each one heavy with their valorous deeds. In this, our biggest painting guide to date, you will find extensive detail on how […]

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Paracord Fusion Ties – Volume 2 – J.D. Lenzen

Paracord Fusion Ties – Volume 2 (PFT-V2) is the second installment in the paracord fusion ties book series and another stunning achievement by author J.D. Lenzen. Like Paracord Fusion Ties – Volume 1, PFT-V2 reveals innovative and stylish ways of storing paracord for later use. So once again you’ll find crisp, clear, full-color photographs (over 1,000 i […]

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How to Paint Citadel Miniatures: Dark Elves – Games Workshop

The Dark Elves embody the grace and style of the elven race, though distorted by their dark hearts and cruel natures. Flowing robes, elegant armour and curved swords bear the signs of this evil; covered in barbs, blades and the shadowy colours of their homeland of Naggaroth. This extensive guide provides a host of techniques and tips for painting your Dark E […]

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How to Raise the Perfect Dog – Cesar Millan & Melissa Jo Peltier

From the bestselling author and star of National Geographic Channel’s Dog Whisperer , the only resource you’ll need for raising a happy, healthy dog. For the millions of people every year who consider bringing a puppy into their lives–as well as those who have already brought a dog home–Cesar Millan, the preeminent dog behavior expert, says, “Yes, […]

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Oogy – Larry Levin

In the bestselling tradition of Rescuing Sprite comes the story of a puppy brought back from the brink of death, and the family he adopted. In 2002, Larry Levin and his twin sons, Dan and Noah, took their terminally ill cat to the Ardmore Animal Hospital outside Philadelphia to have the beloved pet put to sleep. What would begin as a terrible day suddenly go […]

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Codex: Space Marines (Enhanced Edition) – Games Workshop

The Space Marines are the chosen warriors of the Emperor, and the greatest fighting force of the Imperium. Each Space Marine is a genetically enhanced super soldier, easily a match for a dozen lesser men, armed with some of the deadliest weapons in the galaxy and encased in formidable power armour. This codex explores the formations and Chapters of the Space […]

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Dog Training For Dummies – Jack Volhard & Wendy Volhard

Make training fun and effective This friendly guide shows you how to select the right training method for your dog, based on his unique personality, to reach your desired goals. Whether you want to teach Buddy to sit or master retrieving, you’ll get expert training tips and techniques for you and your dog — to ensure a mutually respectful relationship w […]

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Why Big Coal’s Export Terminals Could be Even Worse Than the Keystone XL Pipeline

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What the Scopes Trial Teaches Us About Climate-Change Denial

The Tennessee courtroom battle showed what can happen when big business joins forces with religious faith. William Jennings Bryant, 1915. BuyEnlarge/ZUMA America has largely forgotten Ray Ginger, the mid-20th century historian whose tenure as a professor at Harvard University ended badly during the McCarthy era when the college, to its eternal discredit, demanded that he and his wife swear loyalty oaths. Afterward, Ginger wrote two excellent books, including Six Days or Forever, which remains one of the most colorful and definitive accounts of the 1925 Scopes “Monkey Trial” and the iconic courtroom clash between Clarence Darrow and William Jennings Bryan.* Ironically, Six Days now reads like the Book of Revelations (which Darrow grandly mocked before, during, and after the trial). Indeed, it is revelatory to see how the forces that animated the run-up to the Scopes trial 90 years ago are still present today. We see their work mostly in the dogged renewal of the fight to teach creationism to our children and in the rancor over the truth about the human causes of global warming. To call these forces anti-science is accurate but not the entire story. It’s something broader than that. To keep reading, click here. View post: What the Scopes Trial Teaches Us About Climate-Change Denial Related Articles What Happens When The Government Shuts Down 94 Percent of the EPA Live from Stockholm: Global Science Panel Releases Landmark Climate Report World Scientists Put Finishing Touches on Major Climate Report

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What the Scopes Trial Teaches Us About Climate-Change Denial

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Dot Earth Blog: More on Population Growth and Planetary Prospects

Sustainability scholars challenge an ecologist’s conclusion that Earth’s limits don’t constrain human prospects. Originally from –  Dot Earth Blog: More on Population Growth and Planetary Prospects ; ;Related ArticlesAdministration to Press Ahead With Carbon LimitsThe Texas Tribune: Texas, Where Oil Rules, Turns Its Eye to Energy EfficiencyU.S. Revives Aid Program for Clean Energy ;

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Dot Earth Blog: More on Population Growth and Planetary Prospects

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Podcast: What It’s Like To Spend 55 Days in Space

On our new show, Inquiring Minds, astronaut Marsha Ivins talks about her 5 shuttle missions, NASA’s budget, and why the Borg cube makes a good space ship. Marsha Ivins on Space Shuttle Columbia, 1997. NASA Climate Desk has launched a new science podcast, Inquiring Minds, co-hosted by contributing writer Chris Mooney and neuroscientist and musician Indre Viskontas. To subscribe via iTunes, click here. You can also follow the show on Twitter at @inquiringshow, and like us on Facebook. There aren’t many people on Earth who have spent more of their life in space than Marsha Ivins. A veteran of five Space Shuttle missions—in 1990, 1992, 1994, 1997, and 2001—Ivins has spent a total of 55 days in orbit, on missions devoted to such diverse tasks as deploying satellites, conducting scientific research, and docking with Mir and the International Space Station. Her jobs? Flight engineer, load master, robot arm operator, and photography manager, among other things. In this interview (click above to stream audio or watch the video below) with Inquiring Minds co-host Indre Viskontas, Ivins relates what it’s like to live in orbit—for instance, how your body and brain slowly adapt to the fact that no single direction is up or down. She also discusses some things you might not have known about space: why astronauts tend to be type-A personalities, for instance, and why Canada is so proud of the International Space Station’s robotic arm. Plus, for the benefit of geeks across the universe, Ivins explains why the Borg cube from Star Trek can maneuver just as well as any starfighter that Hollywood has ever dreamed up. “In space, they’re one and the same,” says Ivins. Marsha Ivins aboard Space Shuttle Atlantis, 2001. NASA In the interview, Ivins reflects broadly on where human space endeavors now stand. She discusses why publicly supported space missions are still vital, what it will take to get us to Mars and beyond, and why solving advanced space travel problems (problems involving energy and propulsion) might simultaneously help us solve many of our problems on Earth—perhaps including global warming. The interview comes at a dismaying time for the US space program. Compared with the space race heyday of the 1960s, the percentage of the federal budget devoted to NASA has steadily dwindled. “We spent 4-and-a-half percent of the fiscal budget, and we went to the moon, from having never been to space, in nine years,” says Ivins on the show. “That’s astounding. And we did that, and the United States was the technological leader of the globe from that point on. Not so much any more.” Today the NASA budget is about half a percentof total federal expenditures. As Neil deGrasse Tyson has noted, that means that if you held up a US taxpayer’s dollar, and cut into it that much, “it doesn’t even get you into the ink.” Moreover, it’s not clear that private space initiatives are the answer to the problem. “Space exploration is not an immediate payback, fiscally or otherwise,” Ivins says. “It is a generational kind of investment. And the only group that can afford to make that kind of an investment is a government.” Aurora Australis, from the International Space Station. NASA Ivins believes there would be dramatic payoffs from large scale space exploration investments, of the sort that the US made in the 1960s. That might include developing new sources of renewable energy that would not only be vital for long-range space travel, but could also help solve problems, like global warming, here at home. “When you develop something, in order to enable something like a space mission to Mars, it’s got enormous payback on the Earth,” says Ivins. Marsha Ivins, smiling in space. NASA More generally, Ivins thinks our culture simply needs to fall back in love with space, and what it means that humanity can, if it chooses, go there. “You are off the planet. Think about those words. ‘I am off the planet.’ You don’t get to say that [much]. “And I think fifty years from now, I would hope 20 years from now, it’s not a big deal to be off the planet, any more than it is to be at 30,000 feet in an airplane.” The podcast interview with Marsha Ivins is available for audio livestream and also as video. The video is also embedded below. This episode of Inquiring Minds also features a discussion about new developments in science, including research suggesting that political biases are so pervasive that they can interfere with your ability to do math, and mounting evidence of the dangers of head injuries received from playing football. To subscribe to the Inquiring Minds podcast via iTunes, click here. You can also follow the show on Twitter at @inquiringshow and like us on Facebook. From –  Podcast: What It’s Like To Spend 55 Days in Space ; ;Related ArticlesWatch: Congressman Makes “Completely Wrong” Claim About TemperatureChart: Virgin America falls below the industry average on fuel performance standardsAdministration to Press Ahead With Carbon Limits ;

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Podcast: What It’s Like To Spend 55 Days in Space

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Green Tips for Grilling

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Green Tips for Grilling

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Choking Clouds of Wildfire Smoke Sprawl Over Southern Oregon

No, this is not the surface of the sun. But it’s close. Inciweb How intense are the wildfires blazing in Oregon and California? Let’s answer that question with a photo, snapped in late July by Marvin Vetter of the Oregon Department of Forestry, showing a dang-blasted “firenado” swirling above a sea of burning trees: To keep reading, click here. Original source: Choking Clouds of Wildfire Smoke Sprawl Over Southern Oregon Related Articles Tesla Motors Earns $26 Million in the 2nd Quarter—Thanks to the Government Is Keystone XL a Distraction From More Important Climate Fights? Keystone Light: The Keystone XL Alternative You’ve Never Heard of Is Probably Going to Be Built

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Choking Clouds of Wildfire Smoke Sprawl Over Southern Oregon

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