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The Effect of Emailgate on the Presidential Race Was…Zero

Mother Jones

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On July 5, FBI Director James Comey held a press conference about Hillary Clinton’s email server. By all accounts, his narrative was devastating. She had been “extremely careless.” She had sent and received documents now considered classified. She had used her private server while traveling in unfriendly countries. There was a strong possibility that her server had been hacked.

As it happens, Comey overstated a lot of this stuff. But he did say it. And the reaction of the press was nearly unanimous: Comey had validated many of the worst charges against Clinton. There would be no indictment, but it was certain to hurt Clinton badly. And yet, look what happened according to the Pollster aggregates:

In the week following Comey’s press conference, nothing happened. Clinton’s poll numbers were basically flat, and then bumped up a couple of points. As near as I can tell, Comey’s lengthy rebuke had no effect at all.

This is genuinely puzzling. Sure, the email affair had been going on for a long time and people were pretty tired of it, but Comey made genuine news—all of it bad for Clinton. At the very least, you’d expect a dip in the polls of two or three points for a few weeks.

Why didn’t anyone care? Is this a sign that everyone’s minds are made up, and there’s basically nothing that can change the race at this point? Or does it mean that emailgate was a much smaller deal than we political junkies thought it was?

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The Effect of Emailgate on the Presidential Race Was…Zero

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Never Trump Delegates Have One Last Chance to Stand Up to Trump

Mother Jones

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After their revolt was crushed at the Republican National Convention on Monday, Never Trump delegates are planning one final push to deny Donald Trump the nomination on Tuesday in Cleveland. There’s little likelihood of success—and the effort may be nothing more than symbolic—but it appears the movement will go down swinging.

On Tuesday evening, the convention will be gaveled into session for the roll call of the states, when the delegates’ votes will be counted in order to officially make Trump the nominee. According to Kendal Unruh, a Colorado delegate and a leader of the dump Trump effort, her movement will use this final procedural vote to stage their last stand.

During the roll call of the states, the head of each delegation will declare his or her states’ vote breakdown. But delegates who are bound under convention rules to vote for Trump—but who personally oppose him—plan to register their dissent at this time using a specific parliamentary procedure.

“There’s a process that you use,” Unruh explained. “You have to actually directly challenge at the microphone to the chairman and say a specific phrase or they are going to call it out of order.” She declined to state the phrase, citing strategic reasons.

Technically, delegates bound to Trump by their state party rules must vote for him. But Unruh contends that there is nothing a state can do, and little the national party or state parties can do, to sanction rank and file delegates if they want to challenge this rule individually and vote their conscience. They are unlikely to stop Trump from reaching the 1,237 votes necessary to officially become the nominee, but the televised show of dissent will be an embarrassment to the Trump campaign and tarnish the image of unity the Republican National Committee is struggling to project this week.

The lingering tensions within the GOP were on full display on Monday, when Unruh and her allies made their first attempt to derail Trump’s nomination, briefly sparking chaos on the convention floor. That revolt failed after Republican National Committee officials and Trump aides persuaded delegates to abandon the anti-Trump delegates’ plan—an effort that Unruh claimed RNC chairman Reince Priebus was personally involved in.

After Tuesday’s vote making Trump’s nomination official, the Never Trump effort will finally be out of procedural weapons to use against Trump. But Unruh says that won’t stop them from planning more symbolic shows of opposition to Trump in Cleveland. “We have to hold them accountable for how they’ve treated us,” she said of the Trump campaign and the RNC. “There’s still ways to show discontent, and that’s what we’re discussing.”

“We’re dealing with a narcissist,” she continued. “There’s one thing he’s really gonna hate and that is people trying to embarrass him and not pay attention to him.”

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Never Trump Delegates Have One Last Chance to Stand Up to Trump

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Where DC Lobbyists Love to See and Be Seen

Mother Jones

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This story first appeared on the TomDispatch website.

Although it’s difficult to remember those days eight years ago when Democrats seemed to represent something idealistic and hopeful and brave, let’s take a moment and try to recall the stand Barack Obama once took against lobbyists. Those were the days when the nation was learning that George W. Bush’s Washington was, essentially, just a big playground for those lobbyists and that every government operation had been opened to the power of money. Righteous disgust filled the air. “Special interests” were much denounced. And a certain inspiring senator from Illinois promised that, should he be elected president, his administration would contain no lobbyists at all. The revolving door between government and K Street, he assured us, would turn no more.

Instead, the nation got a lesson in all the other ways that “special interests” can get what they want—like simple class solidarity between the Ivy Leaguers who advise the president and the Ivy Leaguers who sell derivative securities to unsuspecting foreigners. As that inspiring young president filled his administration with Wall Street personnel, we learned that the revolving door still works, even if the people passing through it aren’t registered lobbyists.

But whatever became of lobbying itself, which once seemed to exemplify everything wrong with Washington, DC? Perhaps it won’t surprise you to learn that lobbying remains one of the nation’s persistently prosperous industries, and that, since 2011, it has been the focus of Influence, one of the daily email newsletters published by Politico, that great chronicler of the Obama years. Influence was to be, as its very first edition declared, “the must-read crib sheet for Washington’s influence class,” with news of developments on K Street done up in tones of sycophantic smugness. For my money, it is one of the quintessential journalistic artifacts of our time: the constantly unfolding tale of power-for-hire, told always with a discreet sympathy for the man on top.

It is true that Americans are more cynical about Washington than ever. To gripe that “the system is rigged” is to utter the catchphrase of the year. But to read Influence every afternoon is to understand how little difference such attitudes make here in the nation’s capital. With each installment, the reader encounters a cast of contented and well-groomed knowledge workers, the sort of people for whom there are never enough suburban mansions or craft cocktails. One imagines them living together in a happy community of favors-for-hire where everyone knows everyone else, the restaurant greeters smile, the senators lie down with the contractors, and the sun shines brilliantly every day. This community’s labors in the influence trade have made the economy of the Washington metro area the envy of the world.

The newsletter describes every squeaking turn of the revolving door with a certain admiration. Influence is where you can read about all the smart former assistants to prominent members of Congress and the new K Street jobs they’ve landed. There are short but meaningful hiring notices—like the recent one announcing that the blue-ribbon lobby firm K&L Gates has snagged its fourth former congressional “member.” There are accounts of prizes that lobbyists give to one another and of rooftop parties for clients and ritual roll calls of Ivy League degrees to be acknowledged and respected. And wherever you look at Influence, it seems like people associated with this or that Podesta can be found registering new clients, holding fundraisers, and “bundling” cash for Hillary Clinton.

As with other entries in the Politico family of tip sheets, Influence is itself sponsored from time to time—for one exciting week last month by the Federation of American Hospitals, which announced to the newsletter’s readers that, for the last 50 years, the FAH “has had a seat at the table.” Appropriately enough for a publication whose beat is venality, Influence also took care to report on the FAH’s 50th-anniversary party, thrown in an important room in the Capitol building, and carefully listed the many similarly important people who attended: the important lobbyists, the important members of Congress, and Nancy-Ann DeParle, the Obama administration’s important former health care czar and one of this city’s all-time revolving-door champions.

Describing parties like this is a standard theme in Influence, since the influence trade is by nature a happy one, a flattering one, a business eager to serve you up a bracing Negroni and encourage you to gorge yourself on fancy hors d’oeuvres. And so the newsletter tells us about the city’s many sponsored revelries—who gives them, who attends them, the establishment where the transaction takes place, and whose legislative agenda is advanced by the resulting exchange of booze and bonhomie.

The regular reader of Influence knows, for example, about the big reception scheduled to be hosted by Squire Patton Boggs, one of the most storied names in the influence-for-hire trade, at a certain office in Cleveland during the Republican Convention…about how current and former personnel of the Department of Homeland Security recently enjoyed a gathering thrown for them by a prestigious law firm…about a group called “PAC Pals” and the long list of staffers and lobbying types who attended their recent revelry…about how the Democratic National Committee Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz and the gang got together at a much-talked-about bar to sip artisanal cocktails.

There’s a poignant note to the story of former Congressional representative Melissa Bean—once the toast of New Democrats everywhere, now the “Midwest chair of JPMorgan”—who recently returned to DC to get together with her old staff. They had also moved on to boldface jobs in lobbying, television, and elsewhere. And there’s a note of the fabulous to the story of the Democratic member who has announced plans to throw a fundraiser at a Beyoncé concert. (“A pair of tickets go for $3,500 for PACs,” Influence notes.)

Bittersweet is the flavor of the recent story about the closing of Johnny’s Half Shell, a Capitol Hill restaurant renowned for the countless fundraisers it has hosted over the years. On hearing the news of the restaurant’s imminent demise, Influence gave over its pixels to tales from Johnny’s glory days. One reader fondly recounted a tale in which Occupy protesters supposedly interrupted a Johnny’s fundraiser being enjoyed by Sen. Lindsey Graham and a bunch of defense contractors. In classic DC-style, the story was meant to underscore the stouthearted stoicism of the men of power who reportedly did not flinch at the menacing antics of the lowly ones.

Influence is typically written in an abbreviated, matter-of-fact style, but its brief items speak volumes about the realities of American politics. There is, for example, little here about the high-profile battle over how transgender Americans are to be granted access to public restrooms. However, the adventures of dark money in our capital are breathlessly recounted, as the eternal drama of plutocracy plays itself out and mysterious moneymen try to pass their desires off as bona fide democratic demands.

“A group claiming to lobby on behalf of ordinary citizens against large insurance companies is in fact orchestrated by the hospital industry itself,” begins a typical item. The regular reader also knows about the many hundreds of thousands of dollars spent by unknown parties to stop Puerto Rican debt relief and about the mysterious group that has blown vast sums to assail the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau but whose protesters, when questioned outside a CFPB hearing, reportedly admitted that they were “day laborers paid to be there.”

You will have noticed, reader, the curiously bipartisan nature of the items mentioned here. But it really shouldn’t surprise you. After all, for this part of Washington, the only real ideology around is based on money—how much and how quickly you get paid.

Money is divine in this industry, and perhaps that is why Influence is fascinated with libertarianism, a fringe free-market faith that (thanks to its popularity among America’s hard-working billionaires) is massively overrepresented in Washington. Readers of Influence know about the Competitive Enterprise Institute and its “Night in Casablanca” party, about the R Street Institute’s “Alice in Wonderland” party, about how former Virginia Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli came to sign up with FreedomWorks, and how certain libertarians have flown from their former perches in the vast, subsidized free-market coop to the fashionable new Niskanen Center.

There are also plenty of small-bore lobbying embarrassments to report on, as when a currently serving congressional representative sent a mean note to a former senator who is now an official at the American Motorcyclist Association. Or that time two expert witnesses gave “nearly identical written statements” when testifying on Capitol Hill. Oops!

But what most impresses the regular reader of Influence is the brazenness of it all. To say that the people described here appear to feel no shame in the contracting-out of the democratic process is to miss the point. Their doings are a matter of pride, with all the important names gathering at some overpriced eatery to toast one another and get their picture taken and advance some initiative that will always, of course, turn out to be good for money and terrible for everyone else.

This is not an industry, Influence‘s upbeat and name-dropping style suggests. It is a community—a community of corruption, perhaps, but a community nevertheless: happy, prosperous, and joyously oblivious to the plight of the country once known as the land of the middle class.

Thomas Frank is the author of Listen, Liberal: Or, What Ever Happened to the Party of the People? To receive the latest from TomDispatch.com, sign up here.

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Where DC Lobbyists Love to See and Be Seen

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"Dear Susan, I Have Some Interesting News for You…"

Mother Jones

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In 2004, a decade or so before Transparent debuted and Bruce Jenner came out as Caitlyn, journalist Susan Faludi—author of the 1991 bestseller Backlash: The Undeclared War on American Women—got an email from her 77-year-old Hungarian father. He’d moved back to Budapest after a long career as a photographer in the United States, and the two had “barely spoken” in 25 years. “Dear Susan,” the message read, “I have some interesting news for you. I have decided that I have had enough of impersonating a macho aggressive man that I have never been inside.”

Her father had gone to Thailand, undergone sex-reassignment surgery, and was no longer Steven Faludi, but Stefánie. His announcement marked the beginning of an extraordinary father-daughter reconciliation and a personal exploration of gender fluidity that culminated in Faludi’s latest book, In the Darkroom. I caught up with Faludi to talk about gender extremes, her own identity crises, and what post-Soviet Hungary has in common with Donald Trump’s America.

Mother Jones: Your book title works on several levels. The first refers to your father’s profession as a photographer. Let’s talk about the others.

Susan Faludi: I felt like my father was in a dark room of her own making—always in a state of hiding one way or another. And then there is the terrible darkness of the past, of my father’s childhood and Holocaust experience. And all the ways my father was trying to convert herself—or back then, himself—into something else, and trying to save his life to pass as something other than what he was. There was a lot of darkness.

MJ: Your dad was very violent when you were growing up, but through this journey, you discovered her vulnerability, warmth, and bravery. Was it difficult for you to reconcile these aspects of her personality with the father of your youth?

SP: I always knew something didn’t add up. Growing up, I saw my father trying on one role after another, whether it was Alpine mountaineer or all-American commuter dad with the workbench in the basement, wearing the fedora, and catching the 5:09 train home from the city. Then there was his fascination with manipulating photos, altering images.

It seemed a general confusion. But when I look back on his preoccupation with hyper-masculinity—all the rock climbing and marathon bicycling, ice climbing, and crossing glaciers in the Alps—I realize that I could have read that as compensatory behavior, a struggle to deny something much deeper. I wondered if perhaps my father as a woman felt that she had to go to the extreme—to exhibit hyperfemininity as the only way to release herself from the hypermasculinity she had encased herself in as a man. There were so many odd, idiosyncratic personality traits that I couldn’t put at the doorstep of anyone or any culture. On the other hand, there were qualities that my father had that I thought were strange until I got to Hungary and realized, “Oh, no, my father is Hungarian!”

MJ: Did you know from the moment your father told you about her operation that you would write this book?

SF: I write to figure out what I am thinking: What does my life mean? Who am I in relation to this person? It’s a familiar and comforting way of finding my bearings. My father immediately invited me to write her story. And we proceeded early on—me armed with reporters’ notebooks and tape recorders. But whether it would be for my bureau drawer or an actual book, I didn’t know. It was hard to grapple with how to turn it into a book—the whole personal story. Then I became consumed with the question of Hungarian history and the utterly tortured relationship between Hungarians and Jews, and the insistence that never the twain shall meet. And then the whole history of transgenderism. I often felt as if I were playing six-dimensional chess.

MJ: You reflect that your father is “exactly the kind of girl I’d always thought of as ‘false’.” Will you elaborate?

SF: In part, it applied to my father’s initial presentation of herself as this Doris Day, happy homemaker, just-couldn’t-wait-to-put-on-a-frilly-apron-and-go-into-a kitchen-and-be-taken-care-of woman. It’s kind of funny, because she never actually got taken care of after transition—that was more a fantasy than reality. There was a neighbor who fixed things around the house, but in fact my father was always very handy.

My father and I weren’t in contact during the five years or so—probably longer—before the operation, but she saved all the clothing and high heels, boas, and what-not. I was certainly privy to what then-he was wearing. Post-surgery, my father settled into a more, as she put it, “sedate” presentation of womanhood. But clichéd in other ways: “Here I am being this traditional frilly Magyar matron of a certain bourgeois class from 1925.” In the last several years of her life, she kind of settled into a more of an in-between state, one that wasn’t that far off from how I would dress. And a lot of that had to do with just being older, and having varicose veins—so much for the heels!

By the end, my father was wearing tennis sneakers and a hoodie and comfortable baggy pants. Also, in the very last years, my father began talking about herself as trans, instead of as a woman. Whereas early on he would say, “I am completely a woman.” The needle moved around a bit on the record. But the first few years, the piles of makeup and the insistence on frills and ribbons and bows was not at all attuned to my feminist views on what should be the defining attributes of womanhood. In fact, I don’t believe in any defining attributes. It’s fine to dress in polka dots and pink crinoline if you want. What I recoil from is the idea that that alone is the only way to be female.

MJ: It has been 25 years since Backlash came out. Looking around now, how would you say transgender issues fit in with feminist theory?

SF: I think there’s great overlap. I’ve never believed that women have some special, essentialist qualities, or were more nurturing, cooperative, and morally superior. My feminist view—that gender is on a continuum and we are all better off dropping a lot of those binary notions—is one that is shared by the more recent generation of trans activists and theorists. I know there’s this notion of a battle between the “turfs”—the trans-exclusionary radical feminists who are opposed to trans people. There are a handful of such separatist feminists, but they are really the exception. While it initially really challenged, or frustrated, my feminist notions to see my father running around in stilettos and push-up bras, ultimately the whole experience reaffirmed my feminist view that gender is really varied and complicated and sort of infinitely individualistic.

MJ: At one point, you steal a psychologist’s assessment of your father, and you begin to sort of question who you are at that moment. Girl reporter? Daughter? Was it difficult to toggle among these identities?

SF: I had these moments often, the question of which of my personas will kick in: Daughter? Journalist? Feminist? Having that journalistic guise to fall back on helped me get through the really difficult parts of sticking with my father. If I had just come over to talk, it would have been a lot harder for me to stay with it. I wouldn’t have had the security blanket of my reporter’s notebook and my list of questions, which allowed me to create a little distance so I could breathe and not just feel overwhelmed and suffocated—because my father could often be overwhelming and suffocating. My father was going through this transition from being behind the camera to being in front of it. And by writing about my father, I was going from behind the reporter’s notebook into looking at my own life and assumptions. We were both being pushed out of our comfort zones.

MJ: Beyond your father, this book tells the story of a nation in transition.

SF: The journalism goddess provided an obvious metaphor here. It struck me that Hungary’s transition from communism to capitalism—”the change”—was also what my father called her gender transition. I felt as if I was looking at these twin dramas, around identity in Hungary’s case, but also a cautionary tale. This is what happens when things go wrong. It has been just an endless stretch of identity crises in a country that feels so dominated and invaded and defeated, and so desirous of some fantastical mythological past to hang the culture on. There are so many debates. What is a Hungarian? Who is a Hungarian? But the debates often become a kind of substitute for a reckoning with really hard social and economic problems, and the failure to deal with the reality of a dark past; substituting that struggle for flag-waving, hyperpatriotic neo-fascism. Coming back home and watching the same thing with Trump has been really dispiriting—this grandiosity mixed with extreme self pity.

MJ: Your father is quite insistent about her feminine nature, which challenges a lot of your previous work. Did your sense of gender change while watching your father and writing this book?

SF: The tragedy of it was: If only my father—if only all of us—could be ourselves in our own messy in-between category-ness. My father was so much more interesting in an ambiguous state, which she didn’t reach until the last three or four years of her life. Also, she talked to me so much more, saying, “Now that I’m a woman I feel I can communicate more. As a man I felt I couldn’t communicate.” One of the things that gave her real relief was not feeling isolated at the end of her life. The other aspect of how my father found, I wouldn’t say peace, because no one fully changes—toward the end of her life, my father was willing to look into her own past. She was talking a lot more about being Jewish and her family and the history that she had spent so much time covering up. I think that was freeing for her. To stop trying to put on a mask and just begin to confront all the circumstances and historical conditions that shaped who she became.

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"Dear Susan, I Have Some Interesting News for You…"

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Oakland says no thanks to coal exports

The coal shebang

Oakland says no thanks to coal exports

By on Jun 29, 2016Share

A proposal to turn a former Army base into a coal export terminal was thwarted Monday by a vote of the Oakland City Council. The terminal would have been the largest coal facility on the West Coast, exporting 10 million tons of coal from Utah each year.

The controversial plan pitted environmentalists, labor leaders, and politicians concerned about safety and greenhouse gas emissions against business interests and some residents who argued that the terminal would create jobs. Hundreds showed up to protest on both sides of the issue at the council meeting Monday, but the ban passed unanimously.

“I believe that ‘jobs versus the environment’ is a false choice,” said Councilman Abel Guillén.

“The transport and handling of coal would not only have had serious consequences for the health of local communities, but also for the health of San Francisco Bay,” said Sejal Choksi-Chugh, head of the environmental group San Francisco Baykeeper. “There is no good reason to bring coal into our vibrant and thriving economy and undo the years of progress that we’ve made in cleaning up the Bay.”

But the story is not over yet. A second city council vote will take place on July 9, and the developers have threatened to sue the city over its decision.

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Oakland says no thanks to coal exports

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Paul Ryan Wants to Increase the Medicare Eligibility Age to 67

Mother Jones

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Republicans announce a lot of health care plans. All of them are essentially the same, “a familiar hodgepodge of tax credits, health savings accounts, high-risk pools, block granting of Medicaid, tort reform, and interstate purchase of health plans.” Today, after months of cogitating, House Republicans have finally agreed on yet another a health care plan. It’s not a hodgepodge, however, it’s a “backpack.” Beyond that, however, it should sound pretty familiar:

In place of President Barack Obama’s health law, House Republicans propose providing Americans with refundable tax credits….catastrophic insurance….health-savings accounts….plans offered in other states….fee-for-service insurance through a newly created Medicare insurance exchange not a voucher! not a voucher! absolutely positively not a voucher! -ed.….pay taxes on the value of whatever health insurance employers provide.

Hmmm. There’s no mention of high-risk pools or tort reform or Medicaid block grants. What the hell is going on here? Who was responsible for—oh, wait. Maybe the Wall Street Journal just did a crappy job of describing it. Let’s check in with the Washington Post:

The GOP plan floats a variety of proposals….refundable tax credit….health savings accounts….“high-risk pools”….Medicaid funds would be handed to the states either as block grants or as per-capita allotments.

Now we’re talking. Every single buzzword is there except for tort reform. But maybe I should check in with Reuters:

The Republican proposal would gradually increase the Medicare eligibility age, which currently is 65, to match that of the Social Security pension plan, which is 67 for people born in 1960 or later….The Republican plan includes medical liability reform that would put a cap on non-economic damages awarded in lawsuits, a measure aimed at cutting overall healthcare costs.

Tort reform is there after all! And as an extra added bonus, the Medicare eligibility age goes up to 67! Hallelujah!

How could this possibly have taken more than five minutes to write? It’s identical to every health care plan ever proposed by Republicans. There is, of course, no funding mechanism, possibly because Republicans know perfectly well that it will do nothing and therefore require no funding. But here’s my favorite bit of well-hidden snark from the Washington Post account:

The most significant omission from the Republican health-care plan, though, is to what degree it will maintain — or, more likely, reduce — insurance coverage for Americans….Asked about the plan’s effect on coverage, a Republican leadership aide said Monday, “You’re getting to the dynamic effect of the plan and we can’t answer that until the committees start to legislate.”

But there is a significant clue in the GOP plan that it anticipates a surge in the ranks of the uninsured. Before the Affordable Care Act, the federal government’s primary mechanism for compensating health providers for delivering care to the uninsured was through “disproportionate share hospital” payments, or DSH, which are allocated to facilities that treated large numbers of the uninsured.

Under Obamacare, DSH payments were set to be phased out because coverage rates were expected to increase dramatically….The Republican plan would repeal those cuts entirely.

Bottom line: this is just the usual conservative mush. It would accomplish nothing. It would insure no one. It would wipe out all the gains of Obamacare. Millions of people would have their current health care ripped away from them, all so that Republicans can repeal the 3.8 percent tax on high-earner investment income that funds Obamacare.

And just for good measure, it will also raise the Medicare eligibility age to 67. Because apparently, the old hodgepodge just wasn’t quite Scrooge-like enough.

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Paul Ryan Wants to Increase the Medicare Eligibility Age to 67

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These tiles harness electricity from your footsteps

Something’s afoot

These tiles harness electricity from your footsteps

By on Jun 20, 2016Share

This story was originally published by Wired and is reproduced here as part of the Climate Desk collaboration.

As Fitbit users like to point out, walking burns a lot of calories. But the energy you expend doing it ceases to be useful after your sneakers hit pavement. That’s where Pavegen CEO and founder Laurence Kemball-Cook saw room to create a new kind of sustainable energy technology. His company’s Pavegen floor tiles generate electricity by harnessing the power of footsteps.

The tiles are a kind of kinetic energy recovery system. We’ve seen these before in race cars and buses — but where recovery systems in automobiles convert the kinetic energy normally lost in braking to electrical energy, Pavegen tiles are all about capturing the spring in your step. Tread on a tile and the surface depresses up to one centimeter (Kemball-Cook compares the sensation to walking in a children’s play-area). The downward force drives an energy-storing flywheel inside the tile, which spins to convert kinetic energy into electrical energy through electromagnetic induction. It’s like a generator — only instead of spinning a turbine with wind, water, or coal, it’s spinning a flywheel with footsteps.

The beauty of these tiles is that they can conceivably go anywhere there’s floorspace and foot traffic — think airport terminals, sidewalks, and playing fields. That idea has attracted support from companies as big as Shell and celebrities as diverse as Al Gore and Akon (yes, that Akon) — but backers were hard to come by when Kemball-Cook started out. He began developing the technology while studying design at Loughborough University, and developed the first prototype in all of 15 hours. “I just hacked it together. There was wood in it, and it was held together by duct tape. I went to 150 venture capitalists, and they all said no. The government said, ‘It would never work, we can’t help you.’”

That was seven years ago. Pavegen tiles have since been used to help light soccer pitches in Brazil and Nigeria, a hallway in Heathrow Airport, and offices and shopping centers in London. And that was all with less-efficient technology. Earlier versions of tiles were rectangular, and only produced power when someone’s foot fell in the center of a tile. The latest generation of Pavegen tile, V3, is triangular, which allows them to include a generator in each corner. That means the whole tile pivots toward a generator no matter where you step. The V3 generates 5 continuous watts of power as you walk across it — that’s more than 200 times more efficient than Kemball-Cook’s first prototype.

The new tile design accommodates three separate generators to maximize the power of your steps. Pavegen

Granted, five watts isn’t a ton, and not everyone is convinced that the world will ever run on Pavegen. For the 2013 Paris Marathon, Pavegen laid down a 25-meter strip of the last generation of tiles, and they ended up generating 4.7 kilowatt hours of energy — enough to keep an LED bulb burning for over a month, but nowhere near enough to power your home. “The very basic physics of it is pressure times the deformation of the material,” says David Horsley, a mechanical and aerospace engineer at UC Davis. “You’re not going to get very much for a step, considering you can get 100 watts from a square meter of solar paneling. But for small wearable electronics like watches, or maybe even your phone, this kind of energy harvesting makes sense.”

So it’s not going to put big oil out of business, and you may need to take a lot of steps to make them worth it. Good thing they’re durable as hell. “The floor is one of the harshest environments known to man,” Kemball-Cook says. “You have to be able to withstand environment challenges, water, vandalism. You need good test equipment. We have a footfall rig with four pneumatic drivers that’s being going nonstop for four years, running analytics and just trying to destroy the product.”

With the V3, Kemball-Cook thinks he’s finally reached the point where lower costs and higher efficiency will allow him to scale. Other people think so, too, with installations slated for locations like Oxford Street, London’s bustling shopping thoroughfare, and walkways outside the White House. Tribal Planet, a mobile analytics and activism company, thinks the V3’s new data-tracking abilities could help people forge more personal conceptual models of energy production and consumption. “Energy hasn’t really been a consumer product. Even utilities are a very abstract idea,” says Tribal Planet CEO Jeff Martin, a former Apple executive. “Is my utility getting this energy from nuclear power plant or a wind farm or a coal mine? I have no idea. It’s probably a combination of all that.”

If Pavegen tiles were constantly underfoot — and connected to your phone — you could track how much energy you produced personally. Kemball-Cook likes to think you could even be rewarded for it. “Imagine if you go to get sneakers and you get money off, because you’ve been generating energy for the store,” he says. There’s altruistic potential as well: Kemball-Cook envisions users donating the energy produced by their footsteps to any Pavegen-powered community in the world.

This notion of person-to-person energy accountability excites Pavegen and Tribal’s leadership. They want users to think of their steps almost like “a vote” in favor of a location, an organization, or a policy. “Not wasting your footsteps, or anyone else’s, really starts a conversation around energy that I think is more constructive than abstract concepts, like carbon-offset, that consumers are typically engaged in,” Martin says. “My vision is that this becomes a civic duty, because sustainability and wellness are inextricably connected.”

That’s not going to happen overnight, and it’s highly unlikely that Pavegen’s technology will outshine the promise of solar or wind power. But its unique ability to make the road toward greener energy tangible is what makes it exciting. With Pavegen, whether you can wrap your head around the nuances of wind turbines or carbon accounting or not, doing your part for sustainable energy can literally be your next step.

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These tiles harness electricity from your footsteps

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No peaches or apricots? Blame the Northeast’s warm, wacky winter.

fruitless effort

No peaches or apricots? Blame the Northeast’s warm, wacky winter.

By on Jun 19, 2016 7:06 am

Cross-posted from

Modern FarmerShare

In the Northeast, lovers of stone fruits — peaches, nectarines, apricots, plums, and cherries — are in for a tough summer, thanks to a very weird season for Northeastern farmers.

A strange warm spell in mid-winter followed by two brutal deep freezes have, according to surveys and several farmers we spoke to, completely decimated the stone fruit crops in the Northeast, from roughly central New Jersey on north through New York, Connecticut, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont.

Here’s what happened: An unusually strong El Niño cycle in late 2015 through 2016, likely with the assistance of climate change’s unpredictability, resulted in a string of about a week in February of mid-50-degree-Fahrenheit days in this region. It was, at that point, the most unusually warm month in recorded history, according to NOAA. “Things like peaches, apricots, they start to come out pretty quick as soon as it gets warm out,” says Steven Clarke of Prospect Hill Orchards, in Milton, New York.

Those crazily warm days tricked the Northeastern stone fruit trees to think spring had arrived, and to begin putting out buds, which would eventually flower and become fruits. But then two absurdly cold spells, one in mid-February and one in early April, froze and damaged nearly every single bud. Some apple varieties were hit as well, though apples tend to bud later and be a little more tolerant of bad weather; Clarke says his Cortland, Mutsu, and Jonagold apples were hurt badly.

Farmers have some methods to deal with cold spells; typically cold air sinks to the ground and pockets of warm air sit on top. That’s called an inversion layer, and farmers can raise the temperature on the ground by mixing the cold bottom air with the warmer air. The techniques for doing that are pretty crazy; some will hire helicopters to hover just above their trees, blasting the warm air downwards, and others have gigantic stationary fans for the same purpose.

But this year, the wind was also incredibly intense during the cold snaps. “Helicopters will work if there’s an inversion layer, but this wasn’t a frost; this was a freeze,” says Rick Lawrence, of Lawrence Farms Orchards, in Newburgh, New York. “There was no warm air to push down; it was just cold, cold.” Even these expensive tactics couldn’t fight the weather. “There was absolutely nothing you could do about it,” says Clarke.

There are no full surveys of farmers in the Northeast, but most believe that in this region, at least 90 percent of the crop has been lost. A study in April found that viability of the peach blossoms was as low as 22 percent. Worse than that, some of the actual trees didn’t survive. “We lost quite a few peach trees ourselves,” says Lawrence. “I know some of the other growers were hit pretty hard.” New peach trees can take years to produce fruit, so it’s likely that the weather this year will have lasting effects in years to come.

What’s even stranger about all this is that none of the farmers I’ve talked to have ever seen this kind of destruction before. “We’ve never had anything like this, as long as I can remember,” says Lawrence. “I’m 60 years old and I can’t remember anything like this.” Though he notes that peaches are not generally a primary crop in this region, Clarke agrees. “I’ve never seen a wipeout like this,” he says.

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Gay Men Wanted to Donate Blood in Orlando. They’re Still Not Allowed To.

Mother Jones

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By the early afternoon on June 12, hours after a gunman slaughtered 49 people at a gay nightclub in Orlando, hundreds of sympathizers had lined up to donate blood to the 53 young men and women who had survived the shooting. There were many gay men who would have liked to help but couldn’t. Last December, the Food and Drug Administration lifted its lifetime ban on blood donations by men who have sex with men (often referred to as MSM). Gay men could now give blood, the agency announced—but only if they’ve been celibate for a year beforehand. For gay men in America, it is still easier to purchase an assault rifle than to donate blood.

The lifetime ban was implemented during the early 1980s to help stem the spread of AIDS, which doctors had no way to diagnose or treat at the time. Three decades later, HIV/AIDS is a chronic condition, and advances in diagnostics have made it possible to detect infection within as few as nine days of exposure. But medical progress and political progress are asymmetrical. Despite years of criticism from the American Association of Blood Banks, the New York City Council, and the American Medical Association (AMA), the prohibition remained in place. “The lifetime ban on blood donation for men who have sex with men is discriminatory and not based on sound science,” the AMA declared in 2013.

So the FDA finally relented, somewhat, by reducing the lifetime ban to a yearlong moratorium on donations after the last male-to-male sexual encounter. “The 12-month deferral window is supported by the best available scientific evidence,” Dr. Peter Marks, head of the FDA branch that crafted the recommendation, said in a statement announcing the new policy.

Dan Bruner, the senior director of policy at Washington, DC’s premier HIV clinic, Whitman-Walker Health, was disappointed. “The updated policy is still discriminatory and not rooted in the reality of HIV testing today,” he wrote in response. “The deferral period should be no longer than 30 days.”

In the aftermath of Orlando, as a flurry of politicians, mourners, and activists have renewed their call for the FDA to rethink its 12-month policy, old arguments about public health and identity politics have re-emerged. Once again, health authorities, doctors, and LGBTQ advocates are looking at the same studies and clinical data and coming away with opposing conclusions on what constitutes the “best” scientific evidence.

There’s an emotional history here. By the time the FDA released the first reliable HIV test in 1985, more than 14,000 surgery patients and hemophiliacs were known to have been infected by blood transfusions—a veritable death sentence. Thousands of the fatal donations came from closeted gay men. Even with a test available, infected blood still snuck into the blood supply, because there is a window during which the virus is undetectable in the bloodstream of an infected person. The most common HIV test looks for antibodies against the virus rather than the virus itself. Just as there’s a lag between the intrusion of a burglar and the arrival of police, there’s a lag between pathogen and antibody. In the 1980s, the lag period was around a month. Today, every unit of blood collected in America must pass a nucleic acid test, which can detect HIV nine days after a person is infected.

Bruner, who is gay, is frustrated by the disparity between the FDA’s new policy and modern HIV diagnostics. “I’m married and have been in a monogamous relationship for 33 years,” he says. “If the Red Cross had a blood drive and I wanted to give, I could hold off on sex for a month. I could understand that. But the one-year ban is illusory progress. It says, ‘You can’t donate if you have a sex life.'” Bruner compares the current situation to the exclusion of homosexuals from the military for the sake of troop cohesion. “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell,” a policy enacted in 1994 under President Bill Clinton and eliminated in 2011, allowed homosexuals to serve only if they remained in the closet, putting gay sex at odds with civic duty. “Donating blood is something normal people do,” Bruner says. “The FDA’s policy treats MSM as if they’re not normal, as if they have an infection even when they don’t.”

Indeed, the FDA does not consider MSM normal when it comes to HIV. “A history of male-to-male sexual contact was associated with a 62-fold increased risk for being HIV positive,” Marks tells me. He adds that MSM comprise 2 percent of the population but account for two-thirds of new HIV infections. “If everyone was 100 percent truthful and never cheated, the current nucleic acid test would be able to take care of things,” he explains. “Say you and your partner always use condoms. That also has a failure rate. With anal receptive intercourse it’s 1 to 2 percent.” That adds up fast when your agency is responsible for the safety of millions of Americans.

The FDA relies on data to craft policy, and because American researchers have not thoroughly studied a shorter deferral period for MSM, the agency instead looked to Australia, whose HIV epidemiology and blood screening systems are similar to those in the United States, according to Marks. In 2000, Australia replaced its own indefinite ban on MSM blood donations with a 12-month deferral for sexually active gay men. Australian researchers then studied millions of blood donors from the mid-1990s to the mid-2000s and found no statistically significant increase in the number of HIV-positive donors under the new policy, much less transfusion-borne infections.

Health officials in Italy tried something different: They eliminated MSM deferrals entirely in 2001 and began assessing each donor’s risk with an extensive questionnaire. In 2013, Italian researchers concluded that this individual risk assessment was just as effective at screening out HIV-positive donors (regardless of sexuality) as their nation’s mandatory MSM deferral had been.

Preempting questions about these findings on C-SPAN, Marks said that heterosexuals account for a much larger proportion of new HIV infections in Italy than in the United States. He claimed that getting rid of deferrals and relying only on HIV testing would quadruple the rate of infection through the blood supply. In a subsequent interview, he also said it “wasn’t too big a leap” to make policy based on a six-year-old study of another country’s policy. “We want data we can hang our hat on,” he said.

Public health, of course, is not clinical medicine in aggregate. Doctors treat individuals and can see the result of a prescription in days, but public health officials deal in million-person trends and decade-long studies. It’s therefore not surprising that the FDA’s blood-donation policy lags a decade behind modern diagnostics. “For every letter we got saying we should advance the policy, we got one saying that we shouldn’t change the policy,” Marks says. Imagine the response had the FDA tried to end its MSM ban six years ago, when Australian researchers first published their study. In 2010, a majority of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, including President Barack Obama (publicly, at least). Today, we are more sympathetic to LGBTQ people, but the association of AIDS with gay men endures, in part because the latter still account for a staggering proportion of the US HIV-positive population—more than 40 percent as of 2011.

Dr. Gerald Friedland, an AIDS expert at Yale New Haven Hospital, can sympathize with both sides. “There is logic to the current policy because MSM are the highest-risk population, but there is a danger of stigmatizing,” he says. “Every epidemic is a mosaic of smaller epidemics. Risk is contextual.” For instance, African Americans make up 41 percent of the 1.2 million HIV-positive Americans despite being only 12 percent of the population. In 2014, roughly a quarter of the nation’s 45,000 new HIV infections were black MSM. Poverty, access to housing and education, and geography matter, too. The South is home to 37 percent of the population but 44 percent of Americans with HIV. Yet there are no special donor questions or deferrals for black people, poor people, or Southerners.

Friedland says the FDA may have crafted its policy in deference to the hierarchy of medical evidence. “When we make guidelines for antiretroviral therapy, for example,” he says, “a strong recommendation will receive an ‘A’ if it’s based on two double-blind randomized control trials”—experiments in which neither the researchers nor the subjects know who receives the medication and who receives a placebo. A recommendation receives a “B” if it relies on observational studies, which Friedland describes as “lots of evidence but not randomized evidence.” (The studies from Australia and Italy would probably receive a “B.”) The third threshold, a “C,” is based on a consensus of expert opinion in situations where there are no good studies. (The idea of shrinking the MSM deferral to 30 days would get a “C” because it hasn’t been studied.) “Many decisions are made on this basis,” Friedland says. “There might have been a difference of opinion within the FDA that led to a less-than-forceful recommendation.” The apparent unwillingness of the medical community to undertake clinically relevant studies of a 30-day deferral for sexually active gay men—research many experts say could be conducted without endangering any transfusion recipients—leaves in place a somewhat arbitrary policy that feels discriminatory to many Americans.

Earlier this spring, I went to a Red Cross blood drive in New Haven, Connecticut, and found that the nonprofit had yet to implement the FDA’s “less-than-forceful” recommendations. Its laminated donor handouts still told gay men they could not donate blood, period. Dr. Dominick Giovanniello, the American Red Cross’ medical director for Connecticut, explains that the policy change is more gradual and complicated than media reports made it seem back in December. The new policy, Giovanniello says, was issued as a “draft guidance” back in May of 2015, which gave blood banks time to absorb the changes and get donation centers up to speed, rewriting and reprinting donor manuals, creating new programming for computer-based questionnaires, and retraining phlebotomy staff.

The American Red Cross, a private entity regulated by the FDA, is responsible for about 40 percent of the nation’s blood supply, more than 5 million pints every year, and it wants its policies and facilities to be “in sync” nationwide before it rolls out the changes. Donation facilities less strict than the FDA recommends can be cited or even shut down, so they err on the side of strictness. Yet more than a year has passed since the FDA issued the draft guidance, and the American Red Cross has yet to end the indefinite deferrals. “I’m a little surprised that it’s taken blood banks this much time,” Marks told me.

The ongoing deferral puzzles many LGBTQ advocates, given how vital blood is to the health care system. The Williams Institute, a think tank affiliated with the UCLA School of Law, found that the 12-month deferral forfeits as many as 300,000 pints of blood every year. Ending it, the institute wrote, could “help save the lives of more than a million people.”

Then again, the nation’s demand for blood is down significantly, falling by 27 percent from 2008 to 2013, due to the emergence of minimally invasive surgery and evidence that high-volume blood transfusion is risky and expensive. But the complex biology of blood means that even a slight expansion of the donor pool could save many lives. Although more than two-thirds of Americans have A-positive or O-positive blood, around 9 percent have O-negative and 3 percent have AB-positive, and these rarer types are highly versatile: You can transfuse any patient with O-negative blood cells, and AB plasma is accepted by any body. “There’s always a need for AB plasma and O-negative red blood cells,” Giovanniello says. Having these rare types on hand is especially important when time is short—say, in the aftermath of a mass shooting.

When I ask Marks about the Orlando attack and whether the FDA plans to respond to the renewed criticism of the 12-month deferral, he replies that the agency is “on a course to gather more data to move the policy forward” and that a new plan has “been in the works for weeks and weeks.” He and his staff would only hint about what such a plan might entail. Lorrie McNeill, Marks’ communications director, tells me that many in the LGBTQ community feel that any time-based deferral would be discriminatory. “The comments we heard back were overwhelmingly in favor of moving toward an individual risk assessment,” McNeil says.

Marks has previously said that the FDA hopes to better understand why HIV-positive people would donate blood, which requires thinking about how and why people lie when answering donor questionnaires. “Most donors answer questions as if they’re asking ‘Is my blood safe?’ rather than what they actually ask,” he tells me. “If people feel like we have a fair policy, then they’ll be more likely to comply. There are certain questions that make people so embarrassed that they won’t answer truthfully.”

Marks is cagey about what an improved donor questionnaire might include. “If I could ask you your favorite kind of ice cream bar, and that would predict with 99.9 percent accuracy that you were safe to donate,” he says, “then that would work.” In any case, an FDA study on the effectiveness of a less invasive, more holistic donor history questionnaire would show that the agency is seeking evidence that could support an effective individual risk assessment.

But even if the FDA takes this step, the research would take years to complete, could be cut short by a Republican administration, and might deliver inconclusive results. In the meantime, queer men who want to give blood have to re-enter the closet for an afternoon. The FDA has thought through its policies with care, but its circumspection is lost on millions of gay men and their allies who view the deferral as a symptom of the same phobia that apparently brought a man with an assault rifle to a gay club. The current policy suggests that the federal government is more concerned with preventing injury than insult. With better evidence, it won’t have to choose one or the other.

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Gay Men Wanted to Donate Blood in Orlando. They’re Still Not Allowed To.

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Plants have an immune system, too. It’s called soil.

good dirt

Plants have an immune system, too. It’s called soil.

By on Jun 17, 2016 3:54 pmShare

Organic agriculture has long focused on fortifying soils to provide a sort of immune system for crops. Rather than fighting diseases after they arrive, the thinking goes, make crops sturdy enough so they don’t get sick in the first place.

And it works: There’s evidence that the right soil makes for healthier plants — but we’ve never understood exactly how it works. Without some rudimentary understanding of the process, it’s impossible to separate useful techniques from mysticism and snake oil.

Science writer Carl Zimmer recently summed up in the New York Times what scientists have learned about soils that act like immune systems. It turns out that healthy plants love company. Soils swarming with microbes protect against disease because there’s just no room for pathogens to get a foothold. It’s called competitive inhibition.

Plants can also summon helpful soil microbes to launch counterattacks against specific pathogens. “Recent experiments have shown that when pathogens attack a plant, it responds by releasing chemicals into the soil that attract a number of microbial species,” Zimmer writes. “As those microbes gather around the plant, they release compounds that can kill the pathogen.”

These new insights are far from complete. What happens underground is fantastically complex. But scientists have already used their findings to test some practical means of encouraging good microbes on farms. The more researchers are able to show how this soil immune system works, the more farmers will embrace the idea.

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