Tag Archives: presidential

Friday Cat Blogging – 18 November 2016

Mother Jones

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Guess who’s getting a Presidential Medal of Freedom? Hopper! Well, Hopper’s namesake anyway, Adm. Grace Hopper:

Rear Admiral Grace Hopper, known as “Amazing Grace” and “the first lady of software,” was at the forefront of computers and programming development from the 1940s through the 1980s. Hopper’s work helped make coding languages more practical and accessible, and she created the first compiler, which translates source code from one language into another.1

It’s a posthumous award, but Adm. Hopper is now right up there with Vin Scully and Newton “Television Is A Vast Wasteland” Minow. Naturally, this means that the furry version of Hopper is the star of this week’s catblogging. She is trying her best to look visionary.

1Meh. I guess that’s close enough. No need to get pedantic here.

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Friday Cat Blogging – 18 November 2016

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Donald Trump Lights $10 Million on Fire

Mother Jones

With only 11 days left in this year’s presidential campaign, Hillary Clinton has vastly more money in the bank than Donald Trump. It’s not even close. So Trump has finally decided to pitch in a few dollars of his own money:

Donald Trump, seeking to boost momentum in the last days of the presidential election, wired $10 million of his own money into his presidential campaign Friday morning, two advisers said….Mr. Trump’s cash infusion brings his total contributions to his campaign to $66 million….Mr. Trump’s latest donation to his cause still falls $34 million short of the $100 million he has repeatedly said he will give to his campaign—a pledge he reiterated as recently as Wednesday.

Well, I guess he’s still got another week to light his final $34 million on fire. In the meantime, consider this: Election Day can fall between November 2 and November 8. This year, just to add to our pain, it falls on the last possible day. If, instead, it fell on November 2, we’d have only four days of hell left. They say that whatever doesn’t kill you makes you stronger, and I sure hope that’s true.

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Donald Trump Lights $10 Million on Fire

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It’s the End of August and Hillary Clinton’s Lead Remains Clear and Steady

Mother Jones

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Is the presidential race tightening up? Let’s take a look. Here’s Pollster:

No tightening evident here. Here’s Sam Wang:

No tightening here either. If anything, Clinton has improved her position. Here’s Real Clear Politics:

Some slight tightening here since early August, when the convention bumps settled down. Maybe a point or so. Here’s Nate Cohn:

No tightening here. Here’s 538:

This is a percentage chance of victory, not a projection of vote share. Clinton has dropped a few points since early August.

Bottom line: Since early August, there’s either been no tightening in the polls, or, at most, maybe a point or so. Hillary Clinton is ahead by 6-8 points in the national polls, and so far that’s staying pretty steady.

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It’s the End of August and Hillary Clinton’s Lead Remains Clear and Steady

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Quick! What Is 17 Times 6?

Mother Jones

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Over at the mothership, Matt Miller reports that the nation’s scientists have some questions for Donald Trump and the rest of the presidential field. They want to know about climate change, biodiversity, science education, nuclear power, vaccines, and so forth, but I think they’re being a little too ambitious. Here is Trump on the Howard Stern show a few years ago:

STERN: What’s 17 times 6?
Trump kids look like deer in headlights.
TRUMP: It’s eleven twelve, 112.
STERN: Wrong!
ARTIE LANGE: It’s 102.
TRUMP: 112.
STERN: It is 112?
TRUMP: 112.

Maybe we should ask Trump to tell us what is 17 plus 6. Then we can move on to the harder stuff.

Of course, there’s a real lesson here: Trump knows it’s better to have an answer, any answer, than to be caught out. Besides, he was just being sarcastic. Why do you people take everything he says so seriously, anyway?

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Quick! What Is 17 Times 6?

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Live Coverage of the Democratic Presidential Debate in Iowa

Mother Jones

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The Democratic debate is on CBS tonight at 9 pm Eastern. I had a great football-program-related excuse not to liveblog it, but it turned out that USC played on Friday this week. So now I have no excuse, and I’ll be here with bells on my toes.

Because of the terrorist attacks in Paris, CBS has promised lots of questions about foreign policy. At the risk of being crass, this is probably good for Hillary and not so great for Bernie Sanders. Even among Democrats, there’s likely to be more taste than usual for a hawkish, Hillary-esque foreign policy tonight. We’ll see.

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Live Coverage of the Democratic Presidential Debate in Iowa

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This One Simple Trick Will Allow You to Make a Killing Betting on the Presidential Race

Mother Jones

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Jim Tankersley examines the presidential odds at PredictWise today and concludes that punters are probably underestimating Hillary Clinton’s chances of winning. Why? Justin Wolfers explains that it’s likely due to something called “longshot bias”:

The favorite tends to win in betting markets more often than indicated by the odds. So if the markets say she’s a 47% chance to be president, history suggests that the true odds are a bit better than that.

….There’s another way to get at this though, which is simply to ask whether the odds make sense. I think the idea that Clinton is only a 75 percent chance to win the nomination is nuts — she’s essentially the only serious candidate running, and it’s now clear that her campaign is not going to implode. With any candidate there are risks that secrets may come out, but with Mrs. Clinton, we’ve had several decades for them to surface. So my (personal!) judgment is that she is at least an 85 percent chance to win the nomination, and maybe 90 percent is a more realistic assessment.

OK. But what I want to know is why the betting markets say that Democrats have a 58 percent chance of winning the presidency, but the combined chance of all the individual Democratic candidates is 63 percent. There must be some way to arbitrage this so that you’ll make money no matter what happens. Right?

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This One Simple Trick Will Allow You to Make a Killing Betting on the Presidential Race

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Bernie Sanders Is America’s New Dancing Treasure

Mother Jones

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Bernie Sanders, the Vermont senator, appeared on the Ellen show Thursday morning, where the Democratic presidential hopeful took a break from waving his debate hands to give Americans a rare glimpse into his little-known dancing talent. Here he is, grinning ear-to-ear, with his hands in the air like he just don’t care, “Disco Inferno” on blast:

Just behold how happy, how relaxed he appears:

His sick moves in full below:

See how the senator compares to the rest of our dancing presidential candidates below:

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Bernie Sanders Is America’s New Dancing Treasure

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Jeb Bush Just Admitted to Smoking Pot

Mother Jones

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During the final hour of tonight’s marathon Republican presidential debate, moderator Jake Tapper asked candidates about their positions on marijuana policy. That’s when Jeb Bush, who has been previously accused of being a hypocrite by fellow presidential hopeful Rand Paul for his hardline stance against medical marijuana, weighed in with the following admission: Forty years ago, he too smoked pot. Just like nearly every teenager in America. He then sheepishly apologized to his mother.

The confession, which drew a handful of chuckles from the crowd, was immediately followed by a tweet from his campaign that reemphasized the important part of his statement:

Despite his admission, the presidential hopeful went on to defend his opposition to legalizing medial marijuana.

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Jeb Bush Just Admitted to Smoking Pot

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Sean Hannity Said Some Something Really Creepy at CPAC Today

Mother Jones

In his speech at the Conservative Political Action Conference this morning, Fox News’ Sean Hannity had some downright creepy things to say about the “young, good-looking crowd:”

I can look out in the crowd, I kinda have Fox X-ray vision, and I can see that some of you women, you don’t even know it yet, but you’re pregnant. It’s not your fault. It’s not his fault.

The joke—if that’s what it was—bombed, drawing nervous laughter and groans from the crowd. The Twitter reaction was swift and perplexed:

Other CPAC attendees were apparently unfazed by Hannity’s claim that he could seen into women’s uteruses.

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Sean Hannity Said Some Something Really Creepy at CPAC Today

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Rahm Emanuel on Charlton Heston: "Shove It up His Ass"

Mother Jones

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On Friday, after a one-year delay, Bill Clinton’s presidential library posted thousands of pages of previously unreleased documents. It’s mostly inside baseball stuff, but there are some useful nuggets. For instance, a 1998 memo written by White House speechwriter Jeff Shesol recounts a proposal by then-Clinton-aide Rahm Emanuel (who went on to be President Barack Obama’s chief of staff and is now mayor of Chicago) for dealing with National Rifle Association president Charlton Heston, in a speech heralding a new bulletproof vest law: “Shove it up his ass.”

William Jefferson Clinton Presidential Library

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Rahm Emanuel on Charlton Heston: "Shove It up His Ass"

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